Author: Don escaped Two Corinthians

  • CFP: the Playoff should not be expanded (and it need not exist at all)

    The following article is pure puffery.  The intention is to deal with a topic thoughtfully but not necessarily thoroughly; further, a fact or two may be more than a bit bent.  Read critically . . . and enjoy!

     

    CFP: the Playoff should not be expanded

    (and it need not exist at all)

    There’s plenty of energy around the college football playoffs, how they should be configured, and who sh

    ould be in them.  Here’s a short essay that makes essentially three short points

    • a playoff isn’t needed at all and never was
    • the shape of a playoff doesn’t matter, but the shorter and smaller it is the better
    • it doesn’t much matter who should be in playoffs.

     

    The quest for national consensus reached critical mass in 1998 with the rollout of the Bowl Championship Series and the crowning of the Tennessee Volunteers as its first champion.  Since there is plenty written about the failings and risks and history of the BCS, we won’t get into describing how the teams were decided other than to say polls and computers arrived at the top two playoff teams who then met to decide the championship.  Before the BCS, any number of polls and agencies (and universities!) declared champions, and everyone got along great agreement was rare.

     

    cogito, ergo sum

    There’s an emotional need for (perceived) exactness and certainly that some people have, so shared or disputed championships have riled nearly everyone:  fans, alumni, players, boosters, and alien visitors in low orbit.  It’s worth noting that plenty of writers and services had, even after Korea, declared national champions before bowl season even started; it was not nationally agreed that post-season play meant anything whatsoever (except, maybe, it proved only that a train ran from Yale to Florida).  Because of conference obligations by bowl, the arguably best two teams seldom met, and odd results from the various bowls that were played made reconciling results impossible, so almost no one invested much energy in the notion of a national champion.  To some extent, though, oxen were gored, and partisans screamed their cases and their critiques, but generally college football was just thought to be a fun diversion.  Meanwhile, three hundred some odd national championships were claimed by various schools to account for the 150 years the game had been played:  there is no right or wrong to any of those.

     

    I guarantee it !

    My notion about the championship fervor is that it has been fueled by the Super Bowl.  The AFL and NFL were not giant leagues:  originally most teams in either met and played once every year in the few (dozen) games, so selecting a champion by record to go the Super Bowl at least demonstrated some logic.  The leagues would eventually grow and merge, and their popularity would soar in the last half of the twentieth century to tacitly symbolize and codify how all sports should be managed and seasons decided.  The consolidated NFL would go on to acquire mythic proportion, displacing baseball as the both the national past-time and triplet to apple pie and motherhood.  Ever since, the pointlessness of its burgeoning playoff schedule has seldom been remarked; the month-long festival came to fairly-well supplant or at least necessarily supplement the traditional holidays.  Essentially, NFL playoffs came to be as emotionally necessary as Christmas, and that mania has corrupted and dominated everything ever since.

     

    With the BCS, the best teams, on the NFL model, met . . . usually.  Somebody had to win that game, and to some extent everyone was satisfied with the single, national result.  Except that many were not, and I would simply point out that the dissatisfied people under the BCS are exactly the same sort of people as were dissatisfied before the BCS.  If your ox was gored before, you were mad; if your ox was gored under BCS, you were still mad.  This is the clearest and easiest critique of the BCS (and of any playoff):  it resolves and it changes precisely nothing about whom we believe is the national champion.

     

     

     

     

     

    The biggest challenges to the credibility of the BCS years are three:

    • Boise State seemed to repeatedly deliver perfect seasons in its humble conference but never earn much consideration for the finale.
    • An undefeated Auburn team (2004?) with one of the best offensive backfields to ever play the game was not voted into the finale.
    • USC and Ohio State won BCS championships while playing critical players who would later be ruled ineligible; indeed, both schools vacated considerable wins from that era. There is no universally satisfactory way to resolve the outcome of those seasons other than individual conjecture, which, of course, is how every season is, in the end, weighed in any regard, playoff or no.

     

    The deepest concern has always been that deciding the top two teams has never been unanimous.  For many, the one-game BCS finale could never be relied upon to make sure that an excellent, deserving third- or fourth-placed team might unfairly miss the big game.  A longer, wider playoff would at least settle the question of polls, especially if a politburo of unassailable nobles could be convened to pick the four top teams without being corrupted by the influence of computers or polls or conference bias.

    Thus was born the College Football Playoff system.  Under the CFP, four teams play single elimination games in January to decide the previous year’s champion, and, generally, there has been a reduced tension about the outcome.  But the logic for the four teams is not universally satisfactory and still raises a few questions.

    Two four-seeds and a three- have made it into the CFP finale; both fours- won.  This doesn’t solve or prove anything, though!  Some are consoled that the champion, obviously the best team post hoc, survived being underrated (fourth!) to make it into the playoff and prove themselves:  four teams works!  But it might be that even more people are more certain now than ever that the playoff should be broadened:  there well might be seven- and eight-seed teams that would win out if only they had the chance.  Logic only tells us one thing:  this argument never ends, no matter how many teams are added to the playoffs; someone will still argue the list, same as before, same as before there was a list.

     

    Statistics tells us something worse:  more playoff games afford more chances for the best team to fail to make it to the finale.  By whatever criteria one might agree that a team is the best at the end of the season, and, to the extent that doG on his throne in Heaven could make sure that team was selected by the CFP committee to play amongst the final, say, sixteen, the extra games give that “best team” a greater chance to stumble and fall out of the process.  This theoretically best team might lose a low-scoring affair by a single point to a team that is then eliminated in the next round, thinly as well, and so on . . . leaving us eventually with a champion who narrowly backed into winning it all after having a demonstrably worse season, which even a child would criticize.

    This high-lights another question of ranking teams:  what does a win prove?  A game is a sort of coin flip, but you need to imagine a coin, in the case of 2019 Clemson, that probably comes up heads 90% of the time.  As UNC proved this year, one needs only a tiny fraction of luck to be the team that is in town when tails comes up; more to the point:  UNC had the coin standing on edge until it finally fell heads (insert sad trombone sound here).  Pointy balls bounce exceedingly odd, but nothing went wrong enough for Clemson that UNC could prevail . . . but more than a dash of luck was involved in the final outcome.  We only get to flip the coin a dozen times:  football is a brutal sport that can not be mounted more than once a week; there is only so much of this ammo you can take to this kind of range, but a decision must be made.  Single elimination means every added playoff layer increases, not reduces, the likelihood of a dubious champion.  Ergo, a shorter playoff is better.

     

    The CFP’s committee picks four teams today; the criteria for the four are arguably arbitrary, and the selections are capricious.  The ballots are secret, and there is essentially no way to quash concerns about the equity of the process and whether even the supposed criteria are respected.  Season win-loss, conference championships, and strength-of-schedule are presumed to dominate considerations, but there is no system to say how the decisions were made much less how they should be made.

    Other emotional criteria can never be resolved to the satisfaction of the losers.  For example, what does it even mean to have the best team of the season?  Is it to have been the best team on some weighted week-by-week basis?  Is there a weighting of SoS over results that is unambiguously determinant?  These questions have never been settled, with or without a playoff.

     

    How does a season-ending injury to a critical player count:  is his team diminished in the now because of who they are, or is some fudge factor needed to credit them for who they should be?  Returning to that first BCS championship:  Chris Weinke, one of the greatest college quarterbacks of all time, was injured and did not play; as close as the game ended, it is hard to imagine Florida State not winning had Weinke played; by extension, they were the best team at the end of the year . .  up until the moment he was injured. . . but they lost the finale without him.  On a related track:  one notion that is fairly universal is the belief that a loss early in the season is, ceteris paribus, more forgivable than a later loss.

    From these foregoing examples, one can see two things:  it is impossible to agree on how to weigh schedule and injury impact on the one hand, but, on the other:  the only thing most people agree on (forgiving an early loss) is silly on its face.

     

    So where does all this leave us?  Well, the process for determining the champion has never been solid, agreed, or rational.  Further, there is no process or breadth of scale that will eliminate disputes at the end of the season even in the playoff is expanded.  This leads us to conclude only one thing:  there is no unemotional need for a playoff . . . of any size.  Choose your champion at the end of the regular season by whatever criteria you prefer, and then watch the championship, however it might be configured, merely for the love of the game.

  • OverRated: The Week in College Football Polls

    OverRated: The Week in College Football Polls

    Clean up your Messes Edition

     

    It’s time to strike camp, pay our debts, and get out of town!  It’s

     

    Week Eleven Most OverRated Football Program Results

     

    1          Minnesota was not stomped by Penn State

    2          Oregon was idle

    I got nothing (except that SMU rant from last week which I absolutely stand by).

     

     

    Things are going easy for the Committee since both Bama and Penn State fell on their swords.

    1. Ohio State made soup of the Terps
    2. LSU bested Bama at Bama
    3. Alabama hung 41 on LSU but lost anyway
    4. Penn State was upset at Minnesoda
    5. Clemson smoked a pack-o-Wolves at NCSU
    6. Georgia toyed with Mizzou

     

    not SMU chicks

    Unsolicited memoir:  I was told I was going to a single UGA sorority soirée over the weekend but got suckered into three, three I tellsya soiréeauxeses.  Tickets were row 13 about dead midfield:  I had a better view than ESPN.  It was pretty near freezing as the game ended, which is fine, but the whole point of going to an SEC game is to take in shorts-n-skirts season:  oh well, a certain sort of squandering of a trip to Athens unless you’re into impotent Tigers.

     

    But the Committee doesn’t care about that; they had a list to update . . . thus:

    1. LSU is set for Atlanta
    2. Ohio State has Penn State and Michigan before getting to Indy
    3. Clemson is sharpening their skates, waiting for the pond to freeze
    4. Georgia has Auburn before Atlanta
    5. Alabama needs too much help at this point
    6. Oregon can make a statement against the Utes

     

    College Football Playoff Oughta Be

    Big Ten        Ohio State might see Minnesoda in the championship

    SEC                LSU need only handle aTm and Auburn to meet UGA in the championship

    ACC                Clemson is pretty much done with the regular season

    PAC64             Oregon lost to Auburn, a team UGA could well beat for its third quality win

    Big XII            Oklahoma struggled to edge TCU and closed the books on itself for the year

     

    Silly Loser Ordination

    Alabama                       best one-loss              team in the nation

    Wisconsin                    best two-loss              team in the nation

    Iowa                              best three-loss          team in the nation

    Washington                 best four-loss             team in the nation

    Michigan State            best five-loss              team in the nation

    South Carolina            best six-loss               team in the nation

    Tulsa                             best seven-loss            team in the nation

    Northwestern              best eight-loss            team in the nation

    Rice                               best nine-loss            team in the nation

    Texas Southern           only ten-loss              team in the nation

     

    Second CFP Week N + 1 Most OverRated Football Programs

     1          Minnesota was not stomped by Penn State and rockets beyond their pay grade

    2          Utah  re-enters the fray but won’t play anyone until Oregon in the Pacific punch-out

    3          Georgia re-enters our list after their sudden CFP promotion; remember that they lost to South Carolina who has since lost to Ap State

    4          Oregon was idle and is probably not overrated to speak of anymore

     

    Honorable Mentions

    Things have settled more or less where they belong, so there’s not much to say here.

    Toldjaso™ Boise State buoys in the competency vacuum but plays no one for the rest of the year.

    Kansas State plummeted after losing to Texas, but I just didn’t have the guts last week to say they were truly overrated; send their files to the basement already.

    Formerly-nailed Appalachian State jumped into the rankings, but there’s no real test for them left, so I’m not arguing with the Committee down past two dozen spots.

    Psuedotoldjasos:  Already-called Wake Forest and SMU finally fell plumb out of the rankings; we wish to hear their names no more.

     

    Year to Date Hides on the Wall

    1          Georgia lost at home to the second-best team from South Carolina that almost lost to UNC

             Utah lost to an unrated USC but seems to be coming back

    2          Stanford was revealed by USC

    2          Syracuse was unranked after Maryland

    2          Michigan was blown out by Wisconsin

    2          Notre Dame sold off after losing to a highly ranked Georgia

    7          UCF was edged by an unranked Pitt and continues to muddle

    7          Iowa was no number 15 as Michigan proved

    7          Wake Forest allowed Louisville to hang 62 on them

    7          Cal was dumped from the AP after losing to Arizona State

    11        Boise State lost by three to toothless BYU

    11        Iowa State was dethroned before their decent showing against Iowa

    11        Memphis lost to possibly 80th best team in the nation Temple and disappeared for a while

    11        SMU lost at Memphis fell eight places

    15        Michigan State slowly fell out of the ratings, so I was right after all

    15        Clemson was dethroned by barely edging Mack Brown retirement project UNC

    15        Texas lost to OU (mid-season toldjasos™) and has continued to suck and plummet

    15        Texas probably over-paid for losing to titan LSU (early-season toldjasos™), but then they let Kansas hang 48 on them at home

    15        Appalachian State got a case of the Statesboro Blues and fell over six slots

    20        Auburn over-paid for losing to Florida

    20        Texas A&M probably over-paid for quality losses against Clemson and Auburn . . . or maybe not

    20        Washington State was de-ranked after becoming lowly UCLA’s first win

    20        Virginia continues to lose after losing to can-play-with-UGA Notre Dame

    24        Oklahoma lost to Kansas State . . . inexcusable

    25        San Diego State didn’t make the Committee’s list at all

     

    Year to Date It-Would-Seem Blown Calls Because They’re Doing Okay Really Well

    1          LSU (that was a typo or something, I swear)

    2          Florida seems to have earned their status by defeating top-ten Auburn

    3          Oklahoma is no longer a blown call because Kansas State

    4          UCF is now a skin on the wall after Pitt

    5          Michigan is no longer a blown call because Wisconsin

    6          Washington State is no longer a blown call because UCLA

     

    Our year now stands at 25 2 – 4.  The week endeth thus!

     

     

    links to older opinions:
    2019-11-07                  2019-10-31                  2019-10-24                  2019-10-17                  2019-10-10
    2019-10-03                 2019-09-26                  2019-09-19                 2019-09-13                 2019-09-06
    Disclosure of sources of bias:  your correspondent has attended the University of Tennessee, Memphis State and the University of Memphis, Christian Brothers College . . . and he sleeps with an alumna of Georgia whose parents met at Washington State . . . and his son went to Houston . . . and he never met anyone from TCU he didn’t like . . . and he irrationally hates Notre Dame, UCF, Clemson, and Notre Dame.
  • OverRated: The Week in College Football Polls

    OverRated: The Week in College Football Polls

    Everything is Better with Meetings Edition

    Few of the top teams in the game played this weekend, but, with the first Committee meeting and the blues dealt at Statesboro and Memphis, the sport held onto its title as the preeminent nationwide shitshow.  With only five opinions on the line, three (kinda) came true this week:

     

    Week Ten Most OverRated Football Program Results

    1          San Diego State didn’t make the Committee’s list at all

    2          SMU lost at Memphis in an over-televised much-to-do-about-nothing throw-down and fell eight places

    3          Appalachian State lost to Georgia Southern and fell over six places, totally out of the AP top 25

    4          Minnesota was off but will get stomped by Penn State next weekend

    5          Oregon had to wake up and play to beat USC

    That totals three more toldjaso™ this week to end the purely AP portion of the year.

     

    Here at ground zero, the SMU-Memphis hype was unavoidable.  Neither team had proven to be a top thirty squad, but both have bobbed about the bottom of the AP 25 because they had failed to lose to a bunch of nobodies.  Suddenly GameDay sets up stage on Beale Street and the Liberty Bowls sells the most tickets ever.  Fine.  Whatevs.

     

     

     

    SMU: not worth it !

    Memphis capitalized on the attention by dredging up personalities from circa Watergate, locking in place our reputation as a backwater with great food.  According to police data, within the city Saturday, there were no homicides and nearly no crime downtown, aside from one theft so there’s that.  The main profit from the entire mess was this troll-of-the-week sign floating through the crowd:

                     “SMU:  we paid athletes before it was cool.”

    The Tigers had a big night; good for them.  Myself, I repented of SMU a decade ago.

     

     

     

    Meanwhile, the Committee finally flew to meet in Tarrant County (motto:  We’re so Tired of being called “Dallas”).  Their first opinion of the season shouldn’t be too important, but there’s a certain stickiness to these votes:  no one wants to admit that they’ve been wrong and change.  There are some big games to come, but this is their first pass at the playoffs:

    1. Ohio State
    2. LSU
    3. Alabama
    4. Penn State
    5. Clemson
    6. Georgia

     

     

     

    College Football Playoff Oughta Be

    Big Ten           Ohio State or Penn State

    SEC                Alabama or LSU after Florida excused itself from the proceedings via Athens

    ACC                Clemson survived UNC, so now they’re around for the rest of the year

    PAC64             Oregon is just too weak; expect a second team from the Big Ten or SEC instead

    Big XII            Oklahoma is the best one-loss team in the nation even after losing to Kansas State

    Notre Dame    is not as good as Oregon and merely survived Virginia Tech

     

    SMU: you damned well know it’s not a good idea

    Much of this settles out soon:  Ohio State and Penn State will likely settle the Big Ten when they meet on the 23d; Alabama hosts LSU this weekend and should win by about 8.  I’m okay with the Committee except that I think Oklahoma and Oregon are better than Georgia; Georgia is a mistake.  Back to our weekly idiocy:  who’s who and what’s what?

     

    First CFP Week N + 1 Most OverRated Football Programs

     1          Minnesota is not a wild favorite of the Committee and will be stomped by Penn State

    2          Oregon is barely overrated and has a clear road to winning the PAC256

    We just don’t have much to talk about after the Committee weighed in.

     

     

    Honorable Mentions

    The Season is Kinda Over Already Edition

    I still like LSU, but they’re still not Numero Uno.

    Previously-bagged Georgia is only a ten but is on their way to Atlanta, a very, very short drive.  Even if they lose there, some will still have them near the top despite their losing to South Carolina who has since lost to Tennessee who has lost to Atlanta standard-bearer Georgia State who lost to Western Michigan 57-10 who lost to Eastern Michigan who has lost to Toledo and Buffalo and, well, you get the picture.  This weekend NewWife’s Dawgs host toothless Missouri and your humble correspondent:  pray for me as I drink my way through an SEC sorority soiree in Athens.

    SMU: you can lose your fool head over those girls

    Previously-bagged Utah won’t play anyone until Oregon in the Pacific punch-out.  Previously-bagged Florida is about four spots strong but won’t play anyone for the rest of the year. Previously-bagged Memphis has Cincinnati left, so one or the other will plummet and the other will be seemingly legitimized, but I won’t be sticking my toe back in the AAC filth again this year.  Previously-bagged Wake Forest will lose to Va Tech and Clemson; make of that what you will.

    Kansas State plays several twenty-somethings yet and will lose to one of them and then fall out of the top twenty, but I don’t think I care to waste a stronger opinion on them than that.  Boise State buoys in the competency vacuum but plays no one for the rest of the year.  SMU is still overrated after tanking to the Tigers because no voter wants to admit that he voted a team a good twenty spots higher than he should have.

     

    Year to Date Hides on the Wall

    1          Georgia lost at home to the second-best team from South Carolina that almost lost to UNC

    2          Utah lost to an unrated USC but seems to be coming back

    2          Stanford was revealed by USC

    2          Syracuse was unranked after Maryland

    2          Michigan was blown out by Wisconsin

    2          Notre Dame sold off after losing to a highly ranked Georgia

    7          UCF was edged by an unranked Pitt and continues to muddle

    7          Iowa was no number 15 as Michigan proved

    7          Wake Forest allowed Louisville to hang 62 on them

    7          Cal was dumped from the AP after losing to Arizona State

    11        Boise State lost by three to toothless BYU

    11        Iowa State was dethroned before their decent showing against Iowa

    11        Memphis lost to possibly 80th best team in the nation Temple and disappeared for a while

    11        SMU lost at Memphis fell eight places

    15        Michigan State slowly fell out of the ratings, so I was right after all

    15        Clemson was dethroned by barely edging Mack Brown retirement project UNC

    15        Texas lost to OU (mid-season toldjasos™) and has continued to suck and plummet

    15        Texas probably over-paid for losing to titan LSU (early-season toldjasos™), but then they let Kansas hang 48 on them at home

    15        Appalachian State got a case of the Statesboro Blues and fell over six slots

    20        Auburn over-paid for losing to Florida

    20        Texas A&M probably over-paid for quality losses against Clemson and Auburn . . . or maybe not

    20        Washington State was de-ranked after becoming lowly UCLA’s first win

    20        Virginia continues to lose after losing to can-play-with-UGA Notre Dame

    24        Oklahoma lost to Kansas State . . . inexcusable

    25        San Diego State didn’t make the Committee’s list at all

     

    Year to Date It-Would-Seem Blown Calls Because They’re Doing Okay Really Well

    1          LSU

    2          Florida seems to have earned their status by defeating top-ten Auburn

    3          Oklahoma is no longer a blown call because Kansas State

    4          UCF is now a skin on the wall after Pitt

    5          Michigan is no longer a blown call because Wisconsin

    6          Washington State is no longer a blown call because UCLA

    Our year now stands at 25-2-4.  The week endeth thus!

     

    SMU: just walk away . . . there will be other girls
  • OverRated: The Week in College Football Polls

    I’d sooner be a Wildcat edition

    Standard Advice:  go with your first read!  Whenever, it seems, I’ve changed my mind on the line, the putt then breaks the original way . . . every stinking time.  And so it went for me after I recently opined:

     

    Oklahoma gets better every week, and the grind past Texas qualifies them to enjoy a well-earned last laugh . . . they were, they are the real deal in 2019 and so we must admit that the Sooners were not over-ranked after all.  I was dead wrong on this one.

     

    Well, when I said I was wrong:  I was wrong.  After several weeks in the top six, the newly schooner-less Sooners laid an egg in Manhattan and finally fell five spots in the AP.  K State walked away from them after an even first half; OU brought it back close, but the Wildcats were just working clock and enjoying the inevitable win while the network commenters tried to convince viewers otherwise; a failed onside kick almost gave Norman a chance and did give the guys in the replay booth at Conference a nice excuse to delay play a good seven minutes before the fat lady could sing.  Anyways, the Crimson were Creamed but will go on to a solid bowl.

     

     

    Personal note:  the 2000 KSU team had the quickest defense I’ve ever seen, and you simply couldn’t pass against Terence Newman.  Their fans travel well and have a fearsome, deafening, unending set of cheers.

     

     

     

    Meanwhile, master-class of the week in pointy ball was given by The University of the South at Columbus.  The Buckeyes applied the very best talent from Texas, Tennessee, Georgia, and Maryland to the would-be spoilers from Madison.  Save future injuries, LSU is the only defense that would seem to have a strong chance of stopping Ohio State.

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Notre Dame is perennially overrated, and you might say that I beat that drum enough, but, earlier in the year, they lost to Georgia and then were still ranked above Georgia; it’s just ridiculous, predictable, and this nonsense is crippling the ability of Catholic children to develop logic skills.  Saturday #19 Michigan plowed them like so much snow and the AP accordingly downgraded them eight slots to finally be below both of their known betters.  The great Protestant conspiracy to keep these good kids down has finally won 2019, but don’t worry:  the ND nonsense will flare back up next summer.  Moving on:

     

    Week Nine Most OverRated Football Program Results

    1          Minnesota did make soup out of Maryland 52 – 10

    2          Appalachian State did ruin the Jags of South Alabama

    3          SMU survived red-shirt factory Houston’s sometime quarterback Tune

    4          Oregon edged Washington State at home

    So ZERO new toldjasos™ this week, but, speaking of Notre Dame, I never booked the original win on them at the time so I’m adding that to the list now and taking Oklahoma off my list of misses as well.  Otherwise, a very quiet week we had.  So what’s the longer view?

     

    Well, the Committee (motto:  We Meet in Grapevine!) has yet to convene or vote.  The question, like most years, is:  who’s number four?  Conference championships are a toss-up, but we have every reason to expect these teams in the mix:

     

    Big Ten           Ohio State, Penn State, or Minnesota

    SEC                  Alabama, LSU, or Florida

    ACC                 Clemson

     

     

     

     

    And these guys can pound sand:

    PAC64              Oregon is just too weak; expect a second team from the Big Ten or SEC instead

    Big XII             Oklahoma is only the best of the rest after losing to KSU

    Notre Dame    is not as good as Oregon

    AAC                  UCF is not a top twenty team

    MWest             Boise State is not a top twenty team

    MAC                 Ball State might be a top hundred team

    Okay, everyone knew all that before the season’s first snap (it’s rigged against the small schools!!!!11!!)  Back to our weekly idiocy:  who’s who and what’s what?

     

    Yet Another Week N + 1 Most OverRated Football Programs

    1          San Diego enters our list as most overrated team of the year but is off next week

    2          SMU will meet Memphis in an overrated (and televised) mouse tussle

    3          Appalachian State continues to dominate the JV and will host the Statesboro Blues

    4          Minnesota is trending up but will get stomped by Penn State

    5          Oregon is barely overrated but might have their hands full with USC

     Honorable mentions – I like LSU, but they’re not Numero Uno (Ohio State at a minimum is clearly better on offense).  Baylor is too big for its britches, and Cincinnati love is overheating, but I’ll give them a bit of rope for now.  The same guys who formerly believed in Oklahoma have switched horses to Kansas State.  Previously bagged Utah and Boise State are sliding back up in the competency vacuum.  Wake Forest shouldn’t be within ten slots of the AP at all, and yet they’re there.  This much never changes:  the AP 25 is lunacy, a doctoral thesis in mass hysteria begging to be written.  Now:  on to accounting.

     

    Year to Date Hides on the Wall

    1          Georgia lost at home to the second-best team from South Carolina that had lost to UNC

    2          Utah lost to an unrated USC but seems to be coming back

    2          Stanford was revealed by USC

    2          Syracuse was unranked after Maryland

    2          Michigan was blown out by Wisconsin

    2          Notre Dame sold off after losing to a highly ranked Georgia

    7          UCF was edged by an unranked Pitt

    7          Iowa was no number 15 as Michigan proved

    7          Wake Forest allowed Louisville to hang 62 on them

    7          Cal was dumped from the AP after losing to Arizona State

    11        Boise State lost by three to toothless BYU

    11        Iowa State was dethroned before their decent showing against Iowa

    11        Memphis lost to possibly 80th best team in the nation Temple and disappeared

    14        Michigan State slowly fell out of the ratings, so I was right after all

    14        Clemson was dethroned by Mack Brown retirement project UNC

    14        Texas lost to OU (mid-season toldjasos™) and has continued to suck

    14        Texas probably over-paid for losing to titan LSU (early-season toldjasos™), but then they let Kansas hang 48 on them at home

    18        Auburn over-paid for losing to Florida

    18        Texas A&M probably over-paid for quality losses against Clemson and Auburn . . . or maybe not

    20        Washington State was de-ranked after becoming lowly UCLA’s first win

    20        Virginia continues to lose after losing to can-play-with-UGA-but-not-Michigan Notre Dame

    22        Oklahoma lost to Kansas State . . . inexcusable

     

    Year to Date It-Would-Seem Blown Calls Because They’re Doing Okay Really Well

    1          LSU

    2          Florida seems to have earned their status by defeating top-ten Auburn

    3          Oklahoma is no longer a blown call because Kansas State

    4          UCF is now a skin on the wall after Pitt

    5          Michigan is no longer a blown call because Wisconsin

    6          Washington State is no longer a blown call because UCLA

    Our year now stands at 222-4.  So closes a tasty week!

     

    links to older opinions:                  2019-10-24                 2019-10-17                  2019-10-10                  2019-10-03                  2019-09-26                  2019-09-19                  2019-09-13                  2019-09-06
    Disclosure of sources of bias:  your correspondent has attended the University of Tennessee, Memphis State and the University of Memphis, Christian Brothers College . . . and he sleeps with an alumna of Georgia whose parents met at Washington State . . . and his son went to Houston . . . and he never met anyone from TCU he didn’t like . . . and he irrationally hates Notre Dame, UCF, Clemson, and Notre Dame.

     

  • OverRated: The Week in College Football Polls

    So very boring edition:  a week when the mails simply did not run

    Image result for happy illinois fan

    If you had Wisconsin imploding in Urbana (motto:  we’re no Carbondale), you could easily be writing a much heartier note than this right now.  Similarly, you were just a genius if you had Kansas hanging 48 on the Horns in Austin.  Ranked Missouri should have beaten 1-5 Vandy by 16 but lost by seven, but I didn’t see that one coming.  That is to say, there wasn’t much greatness going on in the pointy-ball prognostication world; and there was only a little news from our five posers from last week:

     

    Week Eight Most OverRated Football Program Results

    1          SMU toasted Temple and climbed two places.

    2          Minnesota razed Rutgers, now the best six-loss team in the game, and jumped four ranks!

    3          Appalachian State mangled Monroe, rose two spots, and still shouldn’t be ranked at all.

    4          Boise State scored a point a minute in the final quarter, still lost by three to toothless BYU, and fell eight spots in the AP.  The Broncos were the classic overrated (14th!) case where they don’t play anybody, the AP voters were forced to fill out 25 lines on their card, and someone vaguely remembered back before Obama when they were the badasses of Division 4 or so.  There really ought to at least be a fine for this sort of behavior.

    5          Oregon had to come back from ten down in the fourth to save themselves from the fish-flingers of Washington.  As Glibs discussed elsewhere this week, these are arguably a couple of 18-ish teams that should have finished in a dead heat, but it would have been funnier if the one ranked 25th had held on to edge the one ranked 12th instead of the other way around.  At least the Huskies come away with a firm grip on the title of best three-loss team in the nation.  Meanwhile the Ducks rose to the 11th spot, and we might soon need to concede that it’s earned . . . but lets wait a few weeks, shall we?

     

    So Boise was our sole toldjasos™ this week.  The season has pretty much stomped all the starch out of all the early bad ranking ideas already, and we’re running out of time to prove anything new.

    Meanwhile, where are we in our weekly idiocy?  Has the AP poll already stepped on every rake possible!?  Well, more less, yes:  it’s getting very quiet: 

     

    Yet Another Week N + 1 Most OverRated Football Programs

    1          Minnesota should make soup out of Maryland.

    2          Appalachian State will ruin the Jags of South Alabama

    3          SMU visits Houston where the entire team is redshirted.

    4          Oregon should beat Washington State by 10.

     

     

    Honorable mentions – We’ve already taken down Clemson and Wake; Wake is maniacally overrated even yet.  Notre Dame still shouldn’t be a top ten team, but I’ve been bored of this conversation for decades:  it just comes with the territory; I can confidently predict they will be ranked top ten at some point in the 2048 season; they will be top five in the sport a decade after Congress has entirely outlawed its play.  Cincinnati might prove out . . . we’ll see.  Arizona State fell seven places and is still grossly overranked, but this wasn’t funny earlier in the year when we rang them up the first time, and it still isn’t.  We already nailed Memphis, but they’re going to bob about the surface like a ripe corpse until deflating and then sinking back down to their destiny amongst the catfish.  Enough!  So how many heads do we have on the wall now?

     

     

    Year to Date Hides on the Wall

    1          Georgia lost at home to the second-best team from South Carolina

    2          Utah lost to an unrated USC but seems to be coming back

    2          Stanford was revealed by USC

    2          Syracuse was unranked after Maryland

    2          Michigan was blown out by Wisconsin

    6          UCF was edged by an unranked Pitt

    7          Iowa was no number 15 as Michigan proved, and they continue to be pantsed weekly

    7          Wake Forest allowed Louisville to hang 62 on them

    7          Cal was dumped from the AP after losing to Arizona State

    7          Boise State lost by three to toothless BYU

    11        Iowa State was dethroned before their decent showing against Iowa

    11        Memphis lost to possibly 80th best team in the nation Temple and disappeared

    11        Michigan State slowly fell out of the ratings, so I was right after all

    14        Clemson was dethroned by Mack Brown retirement project UNC

    14        Texas lost to the university of Texas at Norman (mid-season toldjasos™)

    14        Texas probably over-paid for losing to titan LSU (early-season toldjasos™), but then they let Kansas hang 48 on them at home

    17        Auburn over-paid for losing to Florida

    17        Texas A&M probably over-paid for quality losses against Clemson and Auburn . . . or maybe not

    19        Washington State was de-ranked after becoming lowly UCLA’s first win

    20        Virginia continues to lose after losing to can-play-with-UGA Notre Dame

     

     

    Year to Date It-Would-Seem Blown Calls Because They’re Doing Okay Really Well

    1          LSU

    2          Oklahoma has gotten better all year and refused to lose to Texas

    2          Florida seems to have earned their status by defeating top-ten Auburn

    3          UCF is now a skin on the wall after Pitt

    4          Michigan no longer a blown call because Wisconsin

    5          Washington State no longer a blown call because UCLA

     

    Our year notches another WIN!!! and now grades out at 20-3-3.  So closes another week!

    links to older opinions:                  2019-10-17                 2019-10-10                  2019-10-03                  2019-09-26                  2019-09-19                  2019-09-13                  2019-09-06
    Disclosure of sources of bias:  your writer has attended the University of Tennessee, Memphis State and the University of Memphis, Christian Brothers College . . . and he sleeps with an alumna of Georgia whose parents met at Washington State . . . and his son went to Houston . . . and he never met anyone from TCU he didn’t like . . . and he irrationally hates Notre Dame, UCF, Clemson, and Notre Dame.

     

  • OverRated: The Week in College Football Polls

    October bountiful harvest edition:  in which we were not surprised but many were

    The reaping was grim, but that’s what toldjasos™ are all about!  The hype that was:

     

    Week Seven Most OverRated Football Program Results 

    1          Wake Forest entered our list last week as All-Time Most OverRated Team of All-Time, fell to first-ever-university-owned-by-a-city Louisville, and then disappeared from the rankings

    2          Minnesota shucked the team from Nebraska’s habeas-schmabeas campus

    3          Memphis jumped into the rankings for some reason last week and promptly lost to “state-regulated” and possibly 80th best team in the nation Temple, so look for them in the footnotes of teams-receiving-votes now

    4          Boise State allowed 37 by Hawai’I but won handily

    5          Georgia passed quietly at home yesterday, surrounded by their loving family and close friends, from complications of the second-best team from South Carolina in 2OT . . . and fell seven places in the AP to 10.

    6          Texas lost to Oklahoma in the annual tussle on the Trinity, but they are probably the best two-loss team in the country for whatever that is worth (which is, apparently, 15th in the AP, falling four spots, about right)

    7          Oregon destroyed Colorado on Friday

    8          Oklahoma steadily outpaced Texas in the annual Duel at Dallas

    So what’s the bag limit for hype, anyway?!?  This week we collect Wake Forest, Memphis, Georgia, and Texas (for the second time this season:  that’s how stuck on Texas some people are).  The next time anyone extols the value of democracy, just remember that these teams were voted to their lofty rankings; they weren’t Citizens United into office, and no smoky backrooms were involved:  clear majorities agreed that UGA was top three, that Memphis and Wake belonged in the top 25 at all.  No facebook, no Russians:  just home-grown American idiocy delivered this quality.  To borrow from Steve Spurrier (motto:  don’t tell anyone I’m from Tennessee), you can’t spell crap without AP.

     

    That said, Oklahoma gets better every week, and the grind past Texas (motto:  LSU was a good loss!) qualifies them to enjoy a well-earned last laugh.  Quarterback Hurts, an SEC refugee and Houston native, joins the very long list of Texas ex-pats who have carried the Crimson and Cream banner to victory over the Horns in the past century.  I didn’t think that the Sooners were this close; I thought the grand narrative of one of the greatest programs of all time (not arguing with that whatsoever) was getting in the way of a clear view of this year’s team.  And who doesn’t crave a chance to make fun of, as Randy Galloway called them, Zero U?  But they were, they are the real deal in 2019 and so we must admit that the Sooners were not over-ranked after all.  I was dead wrong on this one (cue sad trombone).

     

    Good news:  The Committee (motto:  We Miss Condy!!!) will publish its rankings starting in November.  If you despise top men and credentialed experts, second-guessing color peaks in just a few weeks!

    Meanwhile, where are we in our weekly idiocy?  Has the AP poll already stepped on every rake possible!?  Well, more less, yes:  it’s getting very quiet.

     

    Newest Week N + 1 Post-Iowa Most OverRated Football Programs

    1           SMU has shot up to a ridiculous 19th slot and so joins our list this week in time to take on Memphis dispatcher Temple

    2          Minnesota plays pointless Rutgers, a week off compared to their run up hill Big 10.

    3          Appalachian State should be catch and release size, but we’re running out of teams to make fun of, and they play South Carolina in a few weeks, so they step up to our list in time to play the U-La-Monroe Warhawks nee Indians.

    4          Boise State travels to play there’s-just-too-much-to-get-into-here-so-let-it-go BYU.

    5          Oregon travels to play the barely-ranked University of Starbucks  

    Honorable mentions – LSU is great, but they’re probably not top two:  any such notion disrespects a continent of football, the mark of excited over-reaction after an admittedly big win.  Notre Dame is still not a top ten team, but suddenly they’re ranked ahead of Georgia which recently beat them.  We’ve already taken Utah down, but some folks are slow learners, so that stock is enjoying a dead cat bounce.  Florida isn’t ninth, but that’s close.  Enough!  So how many trophies do we have on the mantle now?

     

    Year to Date Hides on the Wall

    1          Georgia lost at home to the second-best team from South Carolina

    2          Utah lost to an unrated USC but is still over-bought

    2          Stanford was revealed by USC

    2          Syracuse was unranked after Maryland

    2          Michigan was blown out by Wisconsin

    6          UCF was edged by an unranked Pitt

    7          Iowa was no number 15 as Michigan proved, and they continue to be pantsed weekly

    7          Wake Forest allowed Louisville to hang 62 on them

    7          Cal was dumped from the AP after losing to Arizona State

    10        Iowa State was dethroned before their decent showing against Iowa

    10        Memphis lost to possibly 80th best team in the nation Temple and disappeared

    10        Michigan State slowly fell out of the ratings, so I was right after all

    13        Clemson was dethroned by Mack Brown retirement project UNC

    14        Texas lost to the university of Texas at Norman (mid-season toldjasos™)

    14        Texas probably over-paid for losing to titan LSU (early-season toldjasos™)

    16        Auburn probably over-paid for losing to Florida

    16        Texas A&M probably over-paid for quality losses against Clemson and Auburn

    18        Washington State was de-ranked after becoming lowly UCLA’s first win

    19        Virginia continues to lose after losing to can-play-with-UGA Notre Dame

     

    Year to Date It-Would-Seem Blown Calls Because They’re Doing Okay Really Well

    1          LSU

    2          Oklahoma has gotten better all year and refused to lose to Texas

    3          Florida seems to have earned their status by defeating top-ten Auburn

     

    Let’s score this year 193-3 so far.  That is to say:  the voted-upon rankings of college football teams are rather wrong rather often.  So closes another week!

    links to older opinions:                  2091-10-10                 2019-10-03                  2019-09-26                  2019-09-19                  2019-09-13                  2019-09-06
    Disclosure of sources of bias:  your writer has attended the University of Tennessee, Memphis State and the University of Memphis, Christian Brothers College . . . and he sleeps with an alumna of Georgia whose parents met at Washington State . . . and his son went to Houston . . . and he never met anyone from TCU he didn’t like . . . and he irrationally hates Notre Dame, UCF, Clemson, and Notre Dame.

     

  • How I Became a Libertarian: Southern Child Edition

    I didn’t have a eureka moment.  I didn’t get fed up with a political party.  A well-read child of resourceful, simple, and hard-working parents who had escaped generations of small, impoverishing family farms, my first notion was always independence.  Before any formal concept of agency, utility, or property ever washed into an ear, I knew I valued my own counsel above all others, and my strongest urge and desire was simply to be left alone.

    We moved around a lot for Dad’s work until I was nine.  Over the years I went to school, to church, to everything expected save prom.  I dressed like my farmer uncles and ignored top 40 and drugs.  We were quiet Primitive Baptists and as such unmoved by many worldly notions; particularly, we rejected religious bureaucracy, hierarchy in the church, and evangelism; we had no catechism, no articles or rules save the King James Version, and often shared a preacher amongst our rare and remote congregations.  My first social organization was based on individual interpretation and responsibility.

    Early on, I was forced to lead a prayer in school a full decade after Engel in the civilized place (Tennessee) in which we finally landed, far away from the redneck places and institutions I thought I had escaped.  Maybe I could have objected, but the expectation was clear and direct, and the unanimous opinion of my peers meant that I had finally landed in a situation from which there was no retreat.  The task was easy enough and not unpleasant; I merely resented being forced, being put upon, and not being left alone.  I began to cultivate a distrust of institutions and the force they could wield.

    From this I launched into a childhood a bit defensive and cautious, my clannish hill instincts mixing poorly in the factory towns my father was transferred betwixt.  He was a produce clerk, decent and humble, so Christmas only came once a year at our house, and I learned to jealously hoard and defend every crumb and opportunity.  I never learned to loan or share as a child, and I dug emotional fallback trenches for every possible social situation that life in town might thrust upon me.  I preferred rifles, guitars, spinning reels, engines and, eventually, a tiny blonde thing from Kansas, but mostly I liked reliable devices that didn’t have opinions, and I spent most of my free time with a trusted few, mostly in the field with rod or gun.  I kept my pocketknife razor keen, earned my merit badges, and paid my speeding tickets quietly.

    Whence money:  waxing store floors on second shift, mowing yards, pizza delivery, shoveling snow, fry cook, farm hand, electrician’s mate.  Money meant more independence, and I loved it more than words can describe, much more than free time after school.  Money also meant deserving the blonde thing who, amazingly, had a humbler situation than mine.  I had always identified with farmers and merchants, and, the more I knew of work and money, the more respect I had for proprietors and the more contempt I had for regulation.  I learned there were federal rules and minimums for most things, and it all seemed silly to me:  my employment was an arm’s length transaction between me and my boss, and no other opinions were needed.

    So I strained at the bit in some ways . . . . and just didn’t care in others.  My hair grew to my shoulders and I seldom shaved.  I learned that homosexuality and interracial marriage existed . . . . and could find no reason to care the way all the adults exhibited that I should care:  that these things were morally wrong and there ought to be a law.  Mostly I hated speed limits and not being able to shoot inside the city limits.  I hated how a cop asked me stupid questions about where I worked while he wrote out my ticket, but I loved how he got enraged when I refused to answer, when I just glared at him while he got hysterical and tried to bluff me into submission.  People and institutions needlessly meddling in others’ lives put me off, and I never got over it.  A flavor of #resist became my base assumption and attitude when I wasn’t on the clock, and I eventually started to notice that government operations were seldom executed to serve and protect . . . and began to constantly ask myself to guess the true motives of those actors.  This was the beginning of my suspicion that I would generally be better off and happier with less government.

    I didn’t like a lot of other things going on around me outside of government, either.  Racism and littering were normal in my culture, but I knew they were wrong, so I figured out that adults were often unethical and hypocritical.  Uncles came back from VietNam with no report of triumph or purpose, neighbors in turn defended and abandoned Nixon, farms failed, and neighbors’ cars were repossessed.  Interest rates soared, and I kept to my books and learned to drive a tractor and to string barbed wire.

    You’d think this sort of environment would have made me a conservative, but few of the conservatives I knew outside my quiet church fell into the live-the-example version of virtue; most were of the bluster and control version, and it seemed like their only goal was to make kids obey the very rules that their parents had mostly skipped.  Abortion was a hot issue with the Catholics, but my people tended to simply marry a girl if love brought along a child a few months before the acceptable plan.  I never had any problems interpreting the operating instructions for a condom, so abortion was just a quiet problem that other people had.  That said, my instinct was and remains that a woman should figure out what was appropriate for her:  it’s not a government panel’s responsibility.  I took good care of my own business, and the Kansas blonde would need to move on to less responsible men before bundles would come into her life.  It never occurred to me to push my opinion in this area on others much less codify it, but I always respected the personhood argument from the pro-lifers because it was rational and genuinely altruistic.  Later I would evolve to think about the family as the base unit for rights in this area, but meanwhile I would be increasingly annoyed by the politicization of the issue.  I would never begrudge anyone’s right to speech or protest, but what was coming across strongest was the energy some people have to regulate border issues.  From this issue I learned that reasonable people can find themselves of opposite views, but I also began to worry about the frontier of public versus private interest and how many would inflate the public sphere to import authority over their neighbors.

    One of the hallmarks of the southern brand of conservatism was militarism.  I had pored over maneuver from Agincourt to Dien Bien Phu as a child; my people had sacrificed in the war of northern aggression, Europe, Korea, and VietNam.  But it never caught on with me:  Dad had been miserable as a cold warrior, a pointless clerk spending at one point a year on a Pacific Island two miles long and two thousand feet wide; he had his pay, but he had nothing else but ridiculous orders and frivolous achievements to show for it.  Mustering out, he was unwanted for his few martial skills and made his way to grocery, and his son learned to love drab canvas only as cheap and handy surplus.  When 200 Marines were blown up in Beirut, I couldn’t think of any rationale that their parents would stand to hear.  I began to revisit and question VietNam, of course, but then:  why Korea?  Many things began to smell like Remember the Maine and the Gulf of Tonkin to me from then on.  Other than retaliating for Pearl Harbor, I came to view most foreign adventures as boondoggles:  the list of military projects that had achieved the desired goals and had respected the original rationales were infinitesimal so far as I could see.  Looking back over a steady chain of deceit and failure, I could hardly see newly posited plans as anything other than American self-deception or power grabs.

    As is surely clear, my politics are in no small part an outgrowth of my underclass surroundings, hillbilly paranoia, and poor potty training, but I read a lot and pretty much every political party had a chance to get the upper hand in my brain . . . but none ever earned it.  I read the paper every day, watched Cronkite if home in time (seldom), and took in several longer forms on TV, including Brinkley on Sunday mornings and Wall $treet Week with Louis Rukeyser on Friday evening.  From these I was learning something critical that my father, who had never finished high school, could not tell me:  what was up in the world, and who was pulling the strings; I might not know everything, but the framework of countries and corporations was becoming clear to me, and I had ceased to couch the actions of the day purely in terms of the mindless patriotism that was stock in the small-town  discussions I might overhear.  Follow the money and similar suspicions become my primary tools to dissecting anything; this didn’t always lead to the quickest answers or the healthiest perspectives, but the shoe fit and paid off more times than not if I just waited and kept reading.

    Further, much further, though, I was propelled by Buckley’s Firing Line.  I shared so many of his religious and reactionary urges and was thunderstruck by his repertoire:  he had towering metaphors for every situation, wrung from history, religion, and mythology.  My vocabulary was skyrocketing, but there was something off:  he was a man who would be king.  I agreed with him on almost everything except the notion that everyone else should necessarily agree with us all the time and live like us and bow at our feet; my journey was convincing me that others should have their own journeys, not that I had found all the answers and should bring them down from the mountain to impose.  Mostly, I learned the appeal to first principles as Buckley wrangled with Galbraith and ombudsman-interlocutor Kensley.  I found calm and respectful debate addictively delightful; even today, the first page I turn to in any publication is the letters to the editor, and I simply don’t consider journals that don’t run them:  honest debate has been more important to me than winning for four decades now.  But as clear-headed as Buckley seemed to me, I couldn’t be attracted to a man or a party that didn’t lead with the freedom card; the arrogance left me suspecting that control was more important to Buckley . . . any by extension to Republicans . . . than baseline liberty.

    Then there were practical and historical problems to weigh.  After Asia ruined everyone’s uncles, the world still wasn’t saved from the commie dominos after all and some divisions never even came home, so it wasn’t clear to me what the plan was or whether it had been worth it.  While I dutifully signed up for Selective Service and did my homework, I couldn’t imagine enlisting in any military nonsense.  I read Catch-22 for about the third time since I was 12 and came to over-identify with Yossarian and became infected with his fear of being trapped in bureaucracy by patriotism.  I came to despise jingoistic declarations and even avoid any movies or other glamorization of warfare; Top Gun came and went, but I took a pass.  I noticed that a love of military toys was crowding out any discussion of when and why the toys should be used.

    I went through a bunch-o-bullets in those days.  I have a Winchester 94 in 22LR, and the barrel’s probably shot out at this point, maybe six minutes of angle now with good ammo and the iron sights, but in those days it was fresh from the factory and I was taking rabbits almost as far out as I could see them.  Usually I bought my Federals, like my Levi’s, at the hardware store (whose rural sales staff thought nothing of it) and then pedaled away to do my damage.  Over at another store, they wouldn’t sell that same caliber because I had to be 21 to buy “pistol ammunition.”  The vacuity of laws and their random implementations were already evident to me before I could legally drive.

    We didn’t heed Carter’s thermostat settings, and I was embarking on life at 14MPG because that’s how work gets done.  That said, monkey actors from California didn’t appeal to me, either; my mother could shoot and swing an ax better than Ronald Reagan, and, having never had much of anything in the first place, I wasn’t hurt by the oil shocks and was just working my way to being my best me and taking little notice of the implosions in the rest of the country.  Unlike my neighbors, I wasn’t motivated to cling to this president any more than I had to Ford or Nixon (who had been figureheads in my childhood and nothing more); I was too busy growing up.  And, anyway, flimsy red baiters were a turn-off:  posers (like the race baiters I also hated), they convicted people for what they said and believed when it seemed to me that any truly dangerous citizen should be prosecuted for what he had done.  I was still stuck on honest debate, but the national mood and its leadership preferred the hysterical; the rule of the day was passion and, it seemed, everyone in my Hooterville was happily going along with whatever Reagan and Falwell told them to believe and do.

    In this time, the rising War on Drugs scared me; I feared the machine’s ruining my life.  Cousins had long-since reported that there were indeed no good chain gangs, and I planned for college while avoiding complications.  Then the WoD hit close to home:  some classmates went down on marijuana charges.  My people had been making their own joy juice in the hills for centuries, so I had inherited no right to second-guess others’ jollies and gave adherents of the weird weed a pass.  I have still never taken an illicit drug, but I never much cared what others did with themselves:  just don’t run into me drunk or stoned and we’re good.  But suddenly lives were being wrecked over victimless crimes.  It was more and more clear:  the government often operated expressly at odds to individual pursuit of happiness, no matter what the Declaration declared.  But don’t drugs destroy lives:  probably, but so did a thousand other things that were somehow still legal.  The arbitrariness of it all with no clear appeal to first principles taught me that probably most of Reagan’s yapping was also unprincipled or should be held in suspicion at a bare minimum.  I wasn’t necessarily gunning for Reagan:  he was simply the first of many grandstanders who would fail to earn my respect.

    I did have progressive urges:  I saw poverty firsthand, wanted more for everyone, and entertained social policies that hoped to improve things.  I didn’t mind the URW’s negotiating as a block if that’s what workers wanted, but I feared that many members had been coerced into signing a union card the way I had been directed to lead a prayer.  The housing project was just a half mile from home, so I also saw multi-generational reliance on the dole up close.  I paid a bit of tax on some W2 jobs, but half of my income was generally cash deals with farmers, and I wasn’t so Eagle Scout as to keep up with it, report it, or give Uncle Sam a cut;  the fiscal and operational mistakes of the government weren’t really hitting me in a way to make me second-guess New Deal residues.  I also saw the Knights of Columbus doing good works around town, and I threw my nickels in the Saint Jude barrow when the frat boys wheeled it through town every year; alms in private were clearly capable of delivering excellence.  Meanwhile the great Republicans (motto:  we understand economics) had literally billions upon billions of reasons why the deficit that they talked about didn’t really need any work on their watch.  From this grand mishmash one could only conclude that there were no general answers, no panacea:  the policies and attitudes and structures were veneers.

    So off to college and marriage and profession I went, and I paid my taxes and stayed on my side of the road.  That included a bit of business school where I came to respect macroeconomics and mastered finance at night while taking a turn in code enforcement during a recession.  I did good work:  decent and serious review and accountability that added no more than 1% value to the work I oversaw; I was working hard, and clearly was more useful than anyone else in my office, and still it came to nearly nothing.  Others were less productive and even less impactful, and I suspected that ours was one of the more serious departments in the entire city government.  Of course, as soon as a going concern and I found each other, I was snapped up by the private sector and, to the dismay of all my relatives, quickly escaped the security of government employment.

    The national numbers came to mean more to me, and I came to respect federal programs less and less the more I knew about them.  Government meant that milk cost easily twice what it should; meanwhile, a new generation had taken to the old housing project as normal as rain.  The fruitlessness of public housing was unavoidable, and paying taxes came to remind me of the Baer line about alimony:  “like buying oats for a dead horse.”  At work, I was managing huge budgets, aligning to product strategies, and capitalizing operations; it was far from clear that any similar diligence was applied at government agencies.  I was deadly serious about capital, but it seemed like a full third of the economy was dedicated to propping up less serious, less productive folks.  I decided that enlightened self-interest was the best management theory and inferred that all government work must therefore be less efficient than deferring to market forces.  In short, minimizing government was necessarily a public good.

    That’s where I remain:  unimpressed by political parties and yearning for autonomy and free markets.  It’s a rich life on the debate side, though:  I gun for everyone, but people only hear when I gun for their guy.  Nobody, no politician, can be perfect, so it continues to boggle my mind why folks get so defensive about balls and strikes called fairly.  My grandmothers would have told you that there was enough sin to go around; I’ll tell you there still is.  I vote pragmatically:  to stymy efficient government as much as possible while resisting as many brakes on freedom as possible.  I hope everyone gets rich, finds love, and leaves content children behind them. . . on their own dime . . . and I hope I can be left alone just as much as is decent and possible.

  • OverRated: The Week in College Football Polls Ugly Trophy Edition

    Ugly Trophy Edition:  It turns out there are teams out there worse than MICHIGAN

    This past week we learned that there is a college in Ypsilanti, so don’t go using that sweet town’s name in vain just because you want to make fun of Jim Harbaugh (personal motto:  I was born in Toledo!).  We also learned that GM’s Willow Run plant closed in 2010 (thanks, Obama), so we’ll need to pick on some other township the next time we want to make tranny jokes.

    Out on the grid-iron, we book only two toldjasos™, but one comes at the high cost of conceding a mistake.  The week that was:

     

    Week Six Most OverRated Football Program Results

    1          Boise State unremarkably trounced entertainment engineering powerhouse UNLV

    2          Wake Forest doesn’t play Unitas-less Louisville until next weekend (I misread their calendar)

    3          Georgia finally took the all-time series lead over hapless Tennessee

    4          Florida handled Auburn and child quarterback Nix

    4          Iowa was corn-holed by the near-nobodies at Ann Arbor

    6          Texas recovered from an early scare to survive at West Virginia

    7          Auburn has a solid defense, but so does Florida, so they fell five places

    7          Oregon quietly managed Cal

    9          Oklahoma beat KU by only 25

     

    Iowa’s not much to brag on, but some trophies are just uglier than others.  Ranked 14th, they gave up eight sacks to 19th ranked Michigan and fell, appropriately, four spots.

    Auburn’s loss to Florida was a very even match, but in the polls your punishment is always all out of proportion to what happened at the game.  So Auburn falls five places, and they are now proven to have been at least a bit over-rated.  I can’t put it more succinctly than MSN:

    . . . a game that was tense, sloppy, mistake-filled, oddly coached and generally impossible to figure out from possession to possession.  After four turnovers apiece and a whole bunch of other weirdness, it was No. 8 Florida blowing the game open on Lamical Perine’s 88-yard touchdown run with 9:04 remaining, giving the Gators a terrific win and a 6-0 record despite some very clear flaws. And for No. 7 Auburn, it was a reality check about life with a true freshman quarterback in Bo Nix, who seemed rather overwhelmed with the whole thing and made some truly terrible decisions . . .

     

    This correspondent has trifled with Florida and had bagged them already earlier in the season when AP voters had lost their collective nerve over the Gators.  But now we must concede that any earlier call on UF was bull feathers and book them as a clear miss.  They feature a second-string quarterback, but, as usual, their defensive secondary is fearless and fast.  They’re still over-rated a place or two, but that’s still too close, so let’s just agree I was wrong on this one.

    So snarking about the rankings is nearly dead for the year; there’s just not much new left to yell about from the peanut gallery.  Indeed, in my admittedly very slow news, I found that if you duckduckgo for “heckler” you get endless pictures of cool pistols; that’s all I learned this week.  Now . . . onto your season’s-under-way and Iowa-free rankings:

     

    Newest Week N + 1 Post-Iowa Most OverRated Football Programs

    1      Wake Forest will host Unitas-less Louisville as my All-Time Most OverRated Team of All-Time!!11!!

    2      Minnesoda almost ties the Wake record with their ridiculous debut but should edge Nebraska by four

    3       Memphis jumps onto our board; Temple won’t have a prayer against the Tiger Hype

    4       Boise State hosts Hawaii

    5       Georgia should roll over The Other USC

    6       Texas meets worthy Oklahoma in the Red River Classic

    7       Oregon should bulldoze Colorado

         Oklahoma meets worthy Texas in the Red River Classic

    Honorable mentions – Utah is still over-ranked, but I’ve made enough fun of them already this year.  SMU should damp to their mean soon.  So how has our year gone so far?

     

    Year to Date Hides on the Wall Rated

    1          Utah lost to an unrated USC

    2          Stanford was revealed by USC

    2          Syracuse was unranked after Maryland

    2          UCF was edged by an unranked Pitt

    2          Iowa was no number 15 as Michigan proved

    6          Cal was dumped from the AP after losing to Arizona State

    6          Iowa State was dethroned before their decent showing against Iowa

    6          Michigan State fell out of the ratings, so I was right after all

    9          Clemson was dethroned by Mack Brown retirement project UNC

    9          Texas probably over-paid for losing to titan LSU

    9          Auburn probably over-paid for losing to Auburn

    9          Texas A&M probably over-paid for quality losses against Clemson and Auburn

    13        Washington State was unranked after becoming lowly UCLA’s first win

    14        Michigan was blown out by Wisconsin

    15        Virginia probably over-paid for losing to can-play-with-UGA Notre Dame

     

    Year to Date It-Would-Seem Blown Calls Because They’re Doing Okay Really Well

    1          LSU

    2          Florida seems to have earned their status by defeating top-ten Auburn

    3          UCF is now a skin on the wall after Pitt

    4          Michigan no longer a blown call because Wisconsin

    5          Washington State no longer a blown call because UCLA

    Let’s score this year 152-3 so far, nothing to be ashamed of.  So closes another week!

     

     

    links to older opinions:                  2019-10-03                  2019-09-26                  2019-09-19                  2019-09-13                  2019-09-06
    Disclosure of sources of bias:  your writer has attended the University of Tennessee, Memphis State and the University of Memphis, Christian Brothers College . . . and he sleeps with an alumna of Georgia whose parents met at Washington State . . . and his son went to Houston . . . and he never met anyone from TCU he didn’t like . . . and he irrationally hates Notre Dame, UCF, Clemson, and Notre Dame.
  • OverRated: The Week in College Football Polls

    Thin Gruel as Serious Play Begins Edition

     

     

    This week we book three toldjasos™, but none are monumental or hard math.  What happened:

    Week Five Most OverRated Football Program Results

    1          Cal lost to unranked Arizona State and fell completely out of the top 25

    2          Iowa cracked concrete design powerhouse Middle Tennessee

    2          Virginia proved they can play with we-can-play-with-UGA Notre Dame

    4          Boise State was in their bunk all weekend

    5          Florida blanked can-you-find-it-on-a-map Towson (hint:  Maryland)

    6          Clemson survived UNC’s two-point win-now PAT attempt but fell from the top spot

    6          Georgia kept to the shade for the weekend

    8          Texas is resting up for the Red River Classic

    8          Auburn more than ably handled Mississippi State

    10        Oregon ducked any comers for the weekend

    11        Oklahoma raided Texas Tech

     

    So, we only have three heads to mount on the wall this week.  Clemson was really easy math:  they couldn’t go up from number one and they were unlikely to stay there.  Think of it like betting on a Wallenda to die this century:  you can’t go wrong on some things.  On the one hand, the Tigers only dropped one spot this week; on the other hand, it takes cojones to go against all public opinion and declare that the reigning champions aren’t necessarily the best team in the sport; the easiest thing to do would be to keep your head down, but your writer is all about calling balls and strikes, even in football.  I’m not getting a tattoo over this, but I’m booking the win:  a very small, very high-risk win.  Parting shot:  they’re still overranked (as is Alabama), but I’m cashing out of these high-risk positions for this tax year.

    Cal, on the other hand, is my meat-and-potatoes:  broadside at 200 yards dropped in their tracks.  I had added them to my over-rated list because they had zero business being ranked at all much less number 15.  They stood out like tourists in Paris and deserved to get mugged.  As my toppest mostest overratedest team of last week, no one should be shocked that they would promptly lose to some other PAC256 nobody and get bounced completely out of rankedness.  I called it; this is what I do (just drops ball in endzone after TD and runs promptly from the field, no dance or chest thumping).

    Virginia, however, is very weak sauce as far as call-outs go.  If anything, they played Notre Dame well and proved they deserved their ranking.  But that’s not how the polls work:  they’re about mania, and you get pumped up and you get slapped down.  Virginia’s rack is too small for the den wall; we’ll just tack it up over the work bench in the barn and not point it out to neighbors or anything.

    So, folks, it’s getting much harder now to play the old OverRated game:  it’s late in the hand and there are only so many trump cards left to lead with.  Basically, we’ve made fun of pretty much everyone possible already, and the AP voters have learned the hard way about several teams and fairly much atoned:  there’s little low-hanging fruit left and the AP poll, at least, is pretty much in order or at least arguably in the ballpark.  Still, ranking teams is like building a mutual fund:  you gotta buy something even in an up market.  And I’ve got some old picks hanging around that weren’t very good and sooner or later I’m going to need to unload them; again, like stocks, I’ll wait until some quarter when I’ve got a ton of gains to offset and, until then, they remain on the books somewhere in the appendixes next to several asterisks.

     

    That said:  here’s your thin-gruel high-stress tax-avoidance-structured portfolio of the overranked:

     

    Newest Week N + 1 I Believe! Most OverRated Football Programs

    1          Boise St jumps to the top of our poll in time to kick around Glib bridesmaid UNLV

    2          Wake Forest joins the overranked in time to host Unitas-less Louisville

    3          Georgia will probably nuke Neyland to hold serve in the SEC East

    4          Florida or Auburn must lose, so I’ll be at least half right about something

    4          Iowa plays Khaki Bowl host University of Ypsilanti

    6          Texas will go all STEVE SMITH on West Virgina’s MountainMen

    7          Auburn or Florida must lose, so I’ll be at least half right about something

    7          Oregon lucks into playing recently revealed Cal

    9          Oklahoma should vaporize perennially impotent KU

     

    So how has our year gone so far?

     

    Year to Date Hides on the Wall Rated

    1          Utah lost to an unrated USC

    2          Stanford was revealed by USC

    2          Syracuse was unranked after Maryland

    2          UCF was edged by an unranked Pitt

    5          Cal was dumped from the AP after losing to Arizona State

    6          Iowa State was dethroned before their decent showing against Iowa

    6          Michigan State fell out of the ratings, so I was right after all

    8          Clemson was dethroned by Mack Brown retirement project UNC

    9          Texas probably over-paid for losing to titan LSU

    9          Texas A&M probably over-paid for quality losses against Clemson and Auburn

    11        Washington State was unranked after becoming lowly UCLA’s first win

    11        Florida was ranked down after silly pre-season enthusiasm (but are back up now!)

    13        Michigan was blown out by Wisconsin

    14        Virginia probably over-paid for losing to can-play-with-UGA Notre Dame

     

    Year to Date It-Would-Seem Blown Calls Because They’re Doing Okay Really Well

    1          LSU

    2          UCF is now a skin on the wall after Pitt

    3          Michigan no longer a blown call because Wisconsin

    4          Washington State no longer a blown call because UCLA

     

    Let’s score this year 141-3 so far, nothing to be ashamed of.  So closes another week!

     

    links to older opinions:               2019-09-26              2019-09-19              2019-09-13              2019-09-06

     

    Disclosure of sources of bias:  your writer has attended the University of Tennessee, Memphis State and the University of Memphis, Christian Brothers College . . . and he sleeps with an alumna of Georgia whose parents met at Washington State . . . and his son went to Houston . . . and he never met anyone from TCU he didn’t like . . . and he irrationally hates Notre Dame, UCF, Clemson, and Notre Dame.

     

     

  • OverRated: The Week in College Football Polls

    Redemption Edition as Serious Play Begins

     

    As the season rounds the first corner, a few true scrums have been had, blemishes have arisen, and toldjasos have begun to fill the inboxes of alumni everywhere.  Most years have slow starts:  you can’t laugh at someone for losing until they at least put their season on the line and play a competent school.  So we have finally begun in earnest:  Week Four was most yummy and delivered even more yucks than I could have hoped for.

    Week Four Most OverRated Football Program Results

    1           Utah, most obviously overrated, lost to unrated USC

    2          Cal survived a trip to Ole Miss

    3          Iowa was consumed by one of those marching band scandals

    4          Washington State handled winless UCLA

    5          Florida filleted hopeless Tennessee

    5          Notre Dame scored one whole touchdown that wasn’t a gift from Georgia

    5          UCF was outsmarted, outworked, and eventually edged at Pitt

    5          Georgia made the biggest statement of the year over Notre Dame

    9          Clemson destroyed former directional school Charlotte

    9          Oklahoma was idle

    11        Oregon had few problems with Stanford

    11        Auburn managed a capable Texas A&M on the road

    11        Boise State shot down Air Force

    14        Texas awoke and survived Oklahoma State in Austin

     

    So, we now mount that trophy on the wall as our #1 biggest takedown of the year, the largest pelt taken, the silliest ranking debunked:  UtahNotre Dame sold off although they lost to a highly ranked Georgia, but that’s the way it is with tulip bulb mania.

    In other news,UCF lost at Pitt (our interesting team from last week) and moves from my miss column to my hit parade; I had said they seemed to be doing okay, but, suddenly, my initial disgust was proven right.  Michigan was humiliated by Wisconsin, so I’m also overturning my earlier miss on them.  Washington State is completely unranked now, so I’m moving them to my win column as well.

    Off my radar, newly ranked TCU promptly lost to cross-Plex rival SMU, but I had recorded no opinion on either heretofore.  In summation, we add four pelts to the wall, at least a couple of which are fine specimens.

    Next week conference play now begins in all earnestness, and we’ll see who survives the grind and who is forged in fire.  Here’s my latest ranking of puff toads.

     

    Newest Week N + 1 Most OverRated Football Programs

     

    1          Cal could barely hang with terrible Ole Miss; they are the newest king of hype

    2          Iowa was recently added to the list but yet to disappoint

    2          Virginia joins our list; this fever shall pass

    4          Boise St just isn’t proving anything this year

    5          Florida has yet to be disrobed

    6          Clemson must run the table since they’re ranked numero uno

    6          Georgia has made the best statement against being overrated

    8          Texas has a comfy few weeks until the Red River rivalry resumes

    8          Auburn is barely overrated if at all

    10        Oregon is living up to the hype and might well not be overrated

    11        Oklahoma is solid and might well not be overrated at all

     

    So how has our year gone so far?

    Year to Date Hides on the Wall Ratings

    1          Utah lost to an unrated USC

    2          Stanford was revealed by USC

    2          Syracuse was unranked after Maryland

    2          UCF was edged by unranked Pitt

    5          Iowa State was dethroned before their decent showing against Iowa

    5          Michigan State fell out of the ratings, so I was right after all

    7          Texas probably over-paid for losing to titan LSU

    7          Texas A&M probably over-paid for losing to titans Clemson and Auburn

    9         Washington St is now unranked after becoming lowly UCLA’s first win

    9          Florida was ranked down after silly pre-season enthusiasm (but are back up now!)

    11        Michigan was blown out by Wisconsin

     

    Year to Date It-Would-Seem Blown Calls Because They’re Doing Okay

    1          LSU

    2          UCF is now a skin on the wall after Pitt

    3          Michigan no longer a blown call because Wisconsin

    4          Washington State no longer a blown call because UCLA

     

    So closes another week.

    links to older opinions:               2019-09-22              2019-09-13              2019-09-06

     

     

    Disclosure of sources of bias:  your writer has attended the University of Tennessee, Memphis State and the University of Memphis, Christian Brothers College . . . and he sleeps with an alumna of Georgia whose parents met at Washington State . . . and his son went to Houston . . . and he never met anyone from TCU he didn’t like . . . and he irrationally hates Notre Dame, UCF, Clemson, and Notre Dame.