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  • OverRated: The Week in College Football Polls

    Thin Gruel as Serious Play Begins Edition

     

     

    This week we book three toldjasos™, but none are monumental or hard math.  What happened:

    Week Five Most OverRated Football Program Results

    1          Cal lost to unranked Arizona State and fell completely out of the top 25

    2          Iowa cracked concrete design powerhouse Middle Tennessee

    2          Virginia proved they can play with we-can-play-with-UGA Notre Dame

    4          Boise State was in their bunk all weekend

    5          Florida blanked can-you-find-it-on-a-map Towson (hint:  Maryland)

    6          Clemson survived UNC’s two-point win-now PAT attempt but fell from the top spot

    6          Georgia kept to the shade for the weekend

    8          Texas is resting up for the Red River Classic

    8          Auburn more than ably handled Mississippi State

    10        Oregon ducked any comers for the weekend

    11        Oklahoma raided Texas Tech

     

    So, we only have three heads to mount on the wall this week.  Clemson was really easy math:  they couldn’t go up from number one and they were unlikely to stay there.  Think of it like betting on a Wallenda to die this century:  you can’t go wrong on some things.  On the one hand, the Tigers only dropped one spot this week; on the other hand, it takes cojones to go against all public opinion and declare that the reigning champions aren’t necessarily the best team in the sport; the easiest thing to do would be to keep your head down, but your writer is all about calling balls and strikes, even in football.  I’m not getting a tattoo over this, but I’m booking the win:  a very small, very high-risk win.  Parting shot:  they’re still overranked (as is Alabama), but I’m cashing out of these high-risk positions for this tax year.

    Cal, on the other hand, is my meat-and-potatoes:  broadside at 200 yards dropped in their tracks.  I had added them to my over-rated list because they had zero business being ranked at all much less number 15.  They stood out like tourists in Paris and deserved to get mugged.  As my toppest mostest overratedest team of last week, no one should be shocked that they would promptly lose to some other PAC256 nobody and get bounced completely out of rankedness.  I called it; this is what I do (just drops ball in endzone after TD and runs promptly from the field, no dance or chest thumping).

    Virginia, however, is very weak sauce as far as call-outs go.  If anything, they played Notre Dame well and proved they deserved their ranking.  But that’s not how the polls work:  they’re about mania, and you get pumped up and you get slapped down.  Virginia’s rack is too small for the den wall; we’ll just tack it up over the work bench in the barn and not point it out to neighbors or anything.

    So, folks, it’s getting much harder now to play the old OverRated game:  it’s late in the hand and there are only so many trump cards left to lead with.  Basically, we’ve made fun of pretty much everyone possible already, and the AP voters have learned the hard way about several teams and fairly much atoned:  there’s little low-hanging fruit left and the AP poll, at least, is pretty much in order or at least arguably in the ballpark.  Still, ranking teams is like building a mutual fund:  you gotta buy something even in an up market.  And I’ve got some old picks hanging around that weren’t very good and sooner or later I’m going to need to unload them; again, like stocks, I’ll wait until some quarter when I’ve got a ton of gains to offset and, until then, they remain on the books somewhere in the appendixes next to several asterisks.

     

    That said:  here’s your thin-gruel high-stress tax-avoidance-structured portfolio of the overranked:

     

    Newest Week N + 1 I Believe! Most OverRated Football Programs

    1          Boise St jumps to the top of our poll in time to kick around Glib bridesmaid UNLV

    2          Wake Forest joins the overranked in time to host Unitas-less Louisville

    3          Georgia will probably nuke Neyland to hold serve in the SEC East

    4          Florida or Auburn must lose, so I’ll be at least half right about something

    4          Iowa plays Khaki Bowl host University of Ypsilanti

    6          Texas will go all STEVE SMITH on West Virgina’s MountainMen

    7          Auburn or Florida must lose, so I’ll be at least half right about something

    7          Oregon lucks into playing recently revealed Cal

    9          Oklahoma should vaporize perennially impotent KU

     

    So how has our year gone so far?

     

    Year to Date Hides on the Wall Rated

    1          Utah lost to an unrated USC

    2          Stanford was revealed by USC

    2          Syracuse was unranked after Maryland

    2          UCF was edged by an unranked Pitt

    5          Cal was dumped from the AP after losing to Arizona State

    6          Iowa State was dethroned before their decent showing against Iowa

    6          Michigan State fell out of the ratings, so I was right after all

    8          Clemson was dethroned by Mack Brown retirement project UNC

    9          Texas probably over-paid for losing to titan LSU

    9          Texas A&M probably over-paid for quality losses against Clemson and Auburn

    11        Washington State was unranked after becoming lowly UCLA’s first win

    11        Florida was ranked down after silly pre-season enthusiasm (but are back up now!)

    13        Michigan was blown out by Wisconsin

    14        Virginia probably over-paid for losing to can-play-with-UGA Notre Dame

     

    Year to Date It-Would-Seem Blown Calls Because They’re Doing Okay Really Well

    1          LSU

    2          UCF is now a skin on the wall after Pitt

    3          Michigan no longer a blown call because Wisconsin

    4          Washington State no longer a blown call because UCLA

     

    Let’s score this year 141-3 so far, nothing to be ashamed of.  So closes another week!

     

    links to older opinions:               2019-09-26              2019-09-19              2019-09-13              2019-09-06

     

    Disclosure of sources of bias:  your writer has attended the University of Tennessee, Memphis State and the University of Memphis, Christian Brothers College . . . and he sleeps with an alumna of Georgia whose parents met at Washington State . . . and his son went to Houston . . . and he never met anyone from TCU he didn’t like . . . and he irrationally hates Notre Dame, UCF, Clemson, and Notre Dame.

     

     

  • What To Expect When You Are Expecting A Death

    Everybody wants to go to heaven, but nobody wants to die.

    ~ Unknown

     

    At least twice here at my home away from home someone has raised the prospect of the imminent death of someone close to the them and their concerns about what would follow.  Since this is what I do for a living, I’m an attorney with a practice limited to probate and trust litigation, I thought a primer on what occurs after death may be helpful.

    I’m licensed in California and haven’t practiced in any other state.  I have had plenty of contact with attorneys in other states.  What I discuss will occasionally have a different name in other states, but the substantive law seems to be pretty similar from one state to the next.  Needless to say, if you are actually dealing with a problem then speak with a local attorney.

     

    When You Know Death Is Imminent

    A terminal cancer diagnosis, hospice placement, or dementia diagnosis (barring divine intervention) is a signal the end is coming.  Depending on the condition, it may come fast or slow.  If your parent is still mentally competent and has the wherewithal, putting an estate plan in place or reviewing the existing plan is a good idea.  If that’s not the case, then now is not the time to prod Mom or Dad to put an estate plan in place or change the plan they have.  Every state has laws of intestate succession if there is no plan.  That’s gibberish for “since you didn’t put a plan in place, the government has one for you.”  I know I’m supposed to hate government, and generally I do, but having the government impose a plan when the soon to be departed didn’t is far better than letting the family club each other bloody over the estate.

    What you should do right now is find the estate plan, if there is one, and pertinent financial records.  All of this assumes Mom or Dad want some help and are willing to cooperate.  If they don’t then leave it alone.  Interposing yourself when it’s unwanted is an excellent way to cause a lot of stress during an already stressful time.  Want to cause a permanent rift with your parent or siblings? Keep trying to “help” when your help has been declined.  People aware of their impending end can be prickly.  Unless you think someone is trying to financially benefit themselves at your loved one’s expense, leave it alone if you’ve been told to stay out of it.

    If Mom or Dad will share the estate plan then read the trust, will, and durable powers of attorney to find out who is in charge in the event of mental incapacity and upon death.  If it’s you, then congratulations! You have an absolutely thankless road ahead.  A local probate judge has a sardonic joke.  “You know what’s the second worst job in the world?  Serving as trustee.  You know what’s the worst?  Serving as co-trustee.”  She’s right.  Having two people in charge usually makes things worse.

    If you are in charge then you will be amazed how everyone else in the family is suddenly an expert in medicine and finance while you are a bumbling oaf who doesn’t devote enough time, effort, or energy to the task at hand.  My jaundiced view is based on the cases that come into my office.  They represent the minority of families.  There are in fact families that help and support each other.  Let’s hope that describes yours.  And it’s worth noting, if you don’t want the job or can’t handle it then decline it.  You aren’t doing anyone any favors by taking a job you can’t or won’t do.  That’s another lesson from the rightfully aggrieved siblings I have represented over the years.

    If you are in charge in the event of death or incapacity, then scan a copy of the estate plan.  You will likely need more than one copy to provide to various entities as you go along.   You can be sure the hospital will lose the durable power of attorney for health care you gave them three times before and the bank will have misplaced the trust or certification of trust just before they give you the new account agreement to sign.  If you aren’t in charge, then while Mom or Dad are alive it’s very unlikely you have a right to see the documents.  Curious to know what you will inherit?  Wait.  When death comes all will be revealed.  Until then it’s Mom or Dad’s money and is going to be used for them.  At least it’s supposed to be but that’s a separate discussion.

    Whether you are serving as trustee or attorney in fact/agent under a durable power of attorney, keep track of every penny you spend.  Yes, I am being literal.  Keep every bill, receipt, invoice, bank statement, cancelled check, etc.  Expect to have to account for it later.  

     

    When Death Comes

    Stephen Franklin: It’s all so brief, isn’t it? Typical human lifespan is almost a hundred years, but it’s barely a second compared to what’s out there. It wouldn’t be so bad if life didn’t take so long to figure out. Seems you just start to get it right and then…it’s over.

    Ivanova: Doesn’t matter. If we lived 200 years we’d still be human, we’d still make the same mistakes.

    Franklin: You’re a pessimist.

    Ivanova: I’m Russian, doctor. We understand these things.

    “Soul Hunter” Babylon 5

    Dr. Steven Franklin and Lt. Commander Susan Ivanova

     

    Whether you are in charge (i.e. trustee, executor, or administrator) or not.  Grieve.  The day after your parent has died is not the time to call the attorney.  Depending on your family dynamics, religious beliefs (or lack thereof), family geography, and financial ability you will have to put some time into the disposition of your loved one’s remains and gathering family to do so.  You may have rituals around grieving.  Observe them if this is important to you.

    If you don’t, then take a tip from (((this))) lawyer.  Take some time to grieve.  I don’t care who you are or what your relationship was. You have feelings you need to address or process.  Was it a warm, close, loving relationship?  Then you probably have stories to tell and to hear.  There are tears to be shed and people to embrace.  Unless a foreclosure sale for the family home has been set, then the financial stuff will wait. Was the relationship distant and cold?  Your grieving is going to be different.  Grieving may not even be the right word. You still have some feelings to address.  Do it.  

     

    Getting Down To Business

    Money, money changes everything

    I said money, money changes everything

    We think we know what we’re doing

    We don’t know a thing

    Tom Gray

    “Money Changes Everything”

     

    All that stuff you’ve seen in movies from the 1930s is garbage. (I’m looking at you Ted S.)  The lawyer who drafted the will does not schedule a meeting with the entire family, there is no wood paneled room with a bunch of leather high back chairs, and there is no reading of the will.  Depending on where you live, there is a good chance the will is irrelevant.  Trusts have become the most common estate planning document in lots of places.  The higher the cost of probate the more likely a trust was used to avoid the cost.  A hat tip to Texas for making the costs and burdens of probate de minimus.  If you are in Texas and there is a will your probate will move quickly.  There are still good reasons to use a trust in there but I digress.

    If the trustee, executor, or administrator, does his/her/xer job correctly then you will get a copy of the operative document in the mail. In the Golden State (*cough* bullshit *cough*) a trustee is required to mail out notice to the beneficiaries within sixty days of being informed of the settlor’s death.  That notice identifies the trustee, provides their contact information, and tells the beneficiaries they have a right to request a copy of the trust.  Most of the time a copy of the trust is mailed out with the notice making life easier for everyone involved.  If it’s not, then make a written request to the trustee and/or the trustee’s attorney.  This doesn’t mean sending a text or an email.  Send a letter and keep a copy.  It’s exhibit one to your petition to the probate court if the trustee doesn’t send you a copy of the trust.

    If a will is the operative document, then the will must be deposited with the probate court for the county in which the decedent resided before their death and a petition for probate should be filed within 30 days if there is a need to open probate.  Attached to the probate petition is a copy of the will (if there is one) and it gets served by mail on all the beneficiaries.  Why do I keep saying executor or administrator?  Are the overlords paying me by the word?  By ZARDOZ, no.  The person in charge of the estate when there is a will is the executor.  The person in charge when there is no will is the administrator. Same position, same duties, same process, different name.  I blame the British.

    Whether you are dealing with a trust or a will, if it was written in the last few decades,then you shouldn’t find a lot of legalese in it unless it involves some significant tax planning or it was written by a kook (i.e. shitty attorney, paralegal with an inflated ego, or *shudder* a legal document preparer). If the document seems disjointed, contradictory, or otherwise incomprehensible for no good reason then I would check to see if Legal Zoom or Suze Orman’s horrible estate planning software is involved.

    It’s usually easy enough to read the document to see who is nominated to serve as trustee or executor and how the estate will be distributed.  If you really can’t tell, then get to an attorney.  There may be a genuine problem that needs to be addressed sooner rather than later.

    The large majority of the time the document itself is fine and anyone who can fog a mirror understands how this comes out in the end. What isn’t so obvious to anyone who isn’t in charge is what has to be done in order to get to distributing the estate.

    Regardless of the document, creditors must be addressed.  But you know Mom and Dad paid all their bills when they came in and had very simple finances.  Great.  Then things will go quicker if there is a trust.  Oh, by the way, Mom and Dad may not have been entirely forthcoming with you.  Credit cards are a form of debt even if they didn’t want to acknowledge it.  They paid their bill every month… or so you thought.  They paid the minimum and kept enjoying life as long as they were able.  That final hospital stay that Medicare pays for… it didn’t pay the whole thing.  Expect bills from the ambulance, hospital, and a slew of doctors to come in over the next few months. Surprisingly, mortgage holders don’t really care about the death.  They expect to be paid.  If they aren’t then they will go through the state specific foreclosure process.  

    What can the creditors get?  It depends on whether the debt is secured or unsecured.  If it is secured then the house, car, or boat is going back to the lender if the debt is unpaid.  Assuming there is equity to be preserved but a cash shortage, then if anyone can pay until the asset is sold they should.  The estate will repay them after it sells the asset and has cash on hand.

    If the debt is unsecured then it depends on how title to the estate property was held at the time of death and what notice was given to creditors.  If title was held by the trustee to the trust or solely in your parent’s name, then the trust or probate estate can be liable for the debts.  If an account at a financial institution was held in joint tenancy, pay on death, or has a designated beneficiary, then it is going to that person.  It doesn’t belong to the trust and it isn’t going through probate.  A creditor can try to chase it but unless there is a lot of money at stake they won’t.

    California has a very severe creditors claim process.  In probate, the executor or administrator is responsible for sending a creditor claims notice to all known or suspected creditors.  The creditor has sixty days in which to file their claim.  Miss it by a day and they are out.  No exceptions.  The creditor gets nothing.  There is an optional procedure trustees can use for the same purpose with the same effect.

    If the creditor does file a claim then the trustee, executor, or administrator has to accept it, reject it, or partly accept it and partly reject it. If the claim is rejected in whole or in part then the creditor can file a civil lawsuit against the estate for the amount they claim is owed.  If they don’t file within 90 days of getting the rejection of their claim, then they are barred from collecting.

    At this point, all the property has been gathered and creditors have been paid.  There is some net amount left in the estate.  Presumably, there are still attorneys fees to be paid (thank you state government) and the trustee, executor, or administrator also needs to be paid from the remaining estate.  There are two ways to get to distribution.  First, everyone who inherits can waive an account.  Second, an account can be provided and is usually subject to court approval.

    Whether to waive an account entirely depends on your level of trust and the transparency that’s been shown during the process.  I commonly advise clients who have at least a half way decent relationship to send out copies of all the underlying financial records to the beneficiaries and ask them to waive an account.  If they do waive then it speeds things up and saves everyone some money.  If they won’t waive then the expense and delay is on them.

    If there is going to be an account, then it only makes sense to petition the court for approval.  It’s the only guaranteed way to cut off liability once it is approved.

    With that done, the check is in the mail.  When you get it, you may also be asked to sign a receipt.  Attorneys who play it straight send out receipts that say exactly what you would expect.  Please sign here to acknowledge receiving these items of tangible property and a check for $X.  If that’s what you got, then sign the receipt.  

    That’s it.  You’re done.  Hopefully, everyone got along and the family relationships are no worse for wear.  

     

    I really appreciate Sloopy’s music links that somehow relate to the daily links. I’ll do my part to follow suit. This is more or less how I think about death.

  • Thursday Afternoon SParse Links

    We’re having a challenging day here, so this will not be up to my usual excessively excellent standard.

    So, let’s get to it!

    First, because I need it, some levity.

    This is welcome news in AZ.

    How is this company still in business?

    Huh, somehow increasing taxes isn’t the answer to everything.

    Still no explanation of why this happened in the first place.

     

    Hope you all have a great rest of your day!

  • Thursday Morning Links

    Congratulations. Now you get the Astros!

    I’m 0-2 on baseball playoff predictions after the Rays, with the smallest payroll in MLB, homered their way to a win in Oakland and a date with Houston in the ALDS.  I’m debating making a prediction about the divisional series because I don’t want to jink my Astros.  So I’ll just make them for the NL.  I’m going with the Dodgers and Braves. I may or may not make AL picks tomorrow.We’ll all have to wait and see (as if anybody really cares).

    Liverpool won a wild one against Salzburg and now must do a quick turnaround for a match Saturday with well-rested third-place Leicester City. Barcelona got back on track . Chelski won, as did Ajax and Dortmund.  And in more local news, HOCKEY IS OFFICIALLY BACK!!!!!. Toronto beat Ottawa, the Caps spoiled the Blues banner-raising, the Oilers greased the Canucks, and Vegas (baby, Vegas) drilled San Jose.  More on tap tonight for those of you whose team didn’t play.

    No mask? Where did he keep his enormous testicles?

    Its Chubby Checker’s birthday! And Stevie Ray Vaughan’s too. Also the following: hurler Dennis Eckersley, rocker Lindsey Buckingham, magical lion-snack Roy Horn, transformational hockey goalie Glenn Hall, race-baiting tax-evader Al Sharpton, golfer Freddie Couples, rocker Tommy Lee, singer Gwen Stefani, and actors Neve Campbell, Seann William Scott, Shannyn Sossamon, and recently-freed rapper A$AP Rocky.

    That’s a pretty decent list, even if it does lack many historical names. Not to mention HOCKEY IS BACK!!! But either way, its time to move on to…the links!

    Adam Schiff, who has said his office had no contact with the whistleblower before he filed his complaint, did in fact have contact between his office and the whistleblower before he filed the complaint. But nothing to see here, folks.  Its commonplace for a spy to relate conversations he doesn’t have firsthand knowledge of to an oversight committee chair and that chair not relate the concerns with the rest of the committee.  Move along, sir.  I said move along.

    Nickelback is gonna regret having the video from the tweet removed.

    in related news, the prosecutor looking into the firm that inexplicably employed Biden’s son for. ridiculous sum of money said he was pressured by the US government to back off. But the media won’t touch that since it didn’t come from “a source” or “someone with knowledge of the information”.

    Bernie Sanders has cancelled all campaign events for the time being after a medical scare. You can go ahead and put a fork in him.  The hard-left vote now completely belongs to Warren.

    Meanwhile, her most serious opponent has a few questions to answer about an official trip he took to China in 2013 with his son. You know, his best defense on this might be to say “I took him there because China still makes some of the best heroin in the world and Beau really wanted to move away from crack to smack.”  Its a lot more plausible than the “nothing to see here, folks” defense they’re going with.

    You mean to tell me not a single Dem looked at this guy and thought “he might be sketchy”?

    Dem super-donor Ed Buck has been indicted for a second person’s drug overdose at his Hollywood mansion house of horrors. I wonder how many of the people whose campaigns he raised millions for will come to defend him. I wonder how many in the media will address those connections.  I’ll go out on a limb and say the answers to those are both zero.

    The EPA has sent San Francisco notice that they are in violation of the Clean Water Act for their use of storm drains letting used drug needles and human shit to flow into the Pacific Ocean.  SF denies the claim, saying all that human shit and those needles are captured in their water treatment plants. To which I would ask: what happens to that waste once it’s captured?

    The brother of her victim and the judge in the case both hug convicted murdered Amber Guyger as she’s sentenced to ten years. God bless that brother, but I think it is out of place for a judge to do something like that.  Its also apparently considered “samboing and mammying” to forgive someone to at least one high-profile assclown.  I’m not sure I’d be as forgiving, but who the fuck does Nasheed think he is to tell someone how they should react when their brother is murdered?  Seriously, fuck that guy.

    I remember the time Mark Sebastian locked himself in the Q-102 studio in Cincinnati and played this song 20 times in a row before they broke the door down and took him away. It was awesome.

    Well that’s it, my friends. Go have a great day.

  • Wednesday Afternoon Link – Link Discomfort edition

    “Heroic Mulatto memed me,” Bernie said as he collapsed.

    Sanders has heart stent procedure after chest discomfort

    Bernie Sanders experienced chest discomfort during a campaign event Tuesday evening and had two stents inserted to address a blockage in an artery, his campaign announced.

    “Sen. Sanders is conversing and in good spirits. He will be resting up over the next few days,” senior adviser Jeff Weaver said in a statement Wednesday. “We are canceling his events and appearances until further notice, and we will continue to provide appropriate updates.”

    The Vermont lawmaker has kept up a relentless campaign schedule, particularly during the summer months, and often makes three or four stops a day in different regions. He was scheduled to attend a gun policy forum in Nevada on Wednesday, and then make seven appearances in California on Thursday and Friday.

    At 78, Sanders is the oldest candidate in the Democratic field. But he projects vigor belying his age on the trail, and has not been faced with questions regarding his stamina and mental acuity that have plagued former Vice President Joe Biden, who is two years younger.

    Chest pains. They’re called chest pains. He almost had a heart attack, you quisling fucks.


    Cory Booker raises over $6 million in the third quarter after threatening to drop out of the 2020 race

    Sen. Cory Booker is breathing a sigh of relief as his campaign announces that he raised over $6 million in the third quarter.

    The haul represents the most Booker has raised since the start of his campaign for president. His campaign manager, Addisu Demissie, celebrated the fundraising results after Booker declared last week that the campaign would need to raise at least $1.7 million in the final 10 days of the quarter if the candidate was to remain in the race.

    “I’m proud to report that our 10 day push raised a total of $2,159,165.34 from more than 46,000 donation,” he said in a memo to supporters on Tuesday. “Because of you, we’ll be able to make critical investments that will allow us to continue growing our campaign in the way we need to compete to win the nomination.”

    “Yay,” America says while clapping limply.


    Elizabeth Warren’s new remedy for corruption: a tax on lobbying

    Elizabeth Warren wants to tax the corporate lobbying she says is breaking the American political system.

    Warren, whose presidential campaign has been incrementally releasing a package of anti-corruption proposals, has unveiled a plan to tax corporations and trade organizations that spend a lot of money lobbying Congress and federal agencies.

    The proposal would tax groups and companies that spend between $500,000 and $1 million per year on lobbying at a 35 percent rate, increasing the rate for bigger lobbying budgets. Corporations and trade groups that spend more than $1 million per year on lobbying would get hit with a 60 percent tax rate, and those spending more than $5 million would see a 75 percent tax rate.

    These brackets would hit the pocketbooks of big pharmaceutical and health insurance companies, the real estate industry, fossil fuel companies, Wall Street firms, and electric utilities the hardest. They do not apply to charitable or social welfare organizations that also lobby the government, such as 501(c)3 and 501(c)4 nonprofit groups, but do apply to trade and professional associations, 501(c)6 groups.

    It’s surprising how many of the Dem candidates really only have one idea. Warren will tax our way to utopia, Sanders will grumpy unmutalism, Yang has his pie-in-the-eye UBI panacea, Biden has “I was Barack’s VP. [flashes blacklight white fake teeth]”, and Harris, well Harris… she’s never met a problem that can’t be solved with a fake AAVE accent and a lengthy prison term.


    Kamala Harris Is Trying to Get President Trump Kicked Off Twitter

    Kamala Harris is trying to get President Trump and his sausage fingers kicked off Twitter. On Tuesday, the senator and Democratic presidential candidate wrote a letter to Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey, stating that she believes Trump violated Twitter’s user agreement regarding targeted harassment and inciting violence against a group or individual.

    “In recent days, President Trump published the following tweets from his Twitter account to target, harass, and attempt to out the whistleblower who set forth credible allegations that the President has abused his power by urging a foreign government to investigate a domestic political rival,” Harris wrote. She also cited Trump’s tweets targeting House Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam Schiff and his tweet mulling the hypothetical “Civil War” that would ensue over his potential impeachment.

    (I gave you the Gawkmodo version of the story because it is so delightfully whiny.)


  • The Hat and The Hair Extended Universe: Impeachment

     

    “Impeachment,” Hillary said, gently drawing a shaking claw down his face. Her breath was low tide and old blood.

    “Impeachment,” he agreed, his eyes wide. He shivered at her touch.

    “Child of the sea,” she crooned. “You do have the Innsmouth look about you, don’t you? I can recognize it anywhere.” She licked his neck where his gills would form when he finally went home to the sea.

    “Yes, ma’am,” he said. He was frozen like a rabbit when the shadow of a hawk wheeled around a field. Her god was older and more powerful than his, even if the ocean was home to them both.

    “Adam,” she said. “The name of the first human. Names have power, Adam. Mine means cheerful. Did you know that?”

    “No, ma’am, I did not,” Adam said.

    “Am I not cheerful, Adam? Am I not filled with happiness?”

    “Yes, ma’am,” he said. His pants felt loose and warm as a small amount of wine-dark urine escaped.

    “Adam,” she said again. “It means ‘to be red.’” She pressed a claw into his flabby triceps and watched, panting, as his blood flowed, absorbed as a spreading stain on his dress shirt.

    “To be red,” he repeatedly numbly.

    “But your blood isn’t really all that red, is it?” she asked leaning in close. “How can you get blood work done with it this color?”

    “We have our own doctors, our own hospitals. Massachusetts takes care of its own,” Adam told her.

    Hillary licked the tawny spot on his shirt. “I can taste the power in it. I can taste Dagon. But we don’t have to be enemies any longer. The plague of man is almost at an end.”

    Adam nodded.

    “Impeachment,” she said, a low grumble. “Help me remove this illegitimate President and I will reward you.”

    “I’ve been working to remove him, ma’am. Working very hard.”

    “Work harder,” she hissed in his face, drops of her spittle burning him where they landed on bare skin.

    She stood and took a step back. Something moved under her pants suit, loops sliding past one another, reconfiguration, slithering sounds, the wet slapping of meat.

    “I am done with this one,” Hillary said.

    Huma walked quickly from a dark corner of the hotel room and helped Adam to his feet.

    “Secretary Clinton appreciates your support during these trying times for our great nation,” she murmured.

    “Ngh,” Adam managed, and then, “Guh.”

    “Oh, you poor man,” Huma said. She took a napkin off the room service tray, shook the small bones off of it and daubed his face gently.

    “They will heal quickly,” she said, stroking along her face and neck. “See? They barely leave any scars at all.”

     

  • Wednesday Morning Links

    That’s a FOUL BALL!

    Keep your body behind the ball.  Everybody that played the game as a kid has heard that. Well, almost everybody. Of course, there was a bigger error that’s not getting the attention it deserves.  I’ve watched it a million times and I’m still sure it hit the bat first. Oh well, I’m 0-1 with my wild card picks so far.  I’d love to be 0-2, but I still think the A’s win tonight.

    I’m sure as I type this update Bayern has scored again on Spuds.  That was an absolute beatdown. The kind that costs people their job. Real drawing with Brugge is the same kind of result. PSG, Juve, Man City, and Athletics all won. More fun across the pond today with the second set of UCL matches.  Not to mention fun this side of the pond as the NHL season officially opens today.

    The 80’s was a strange time.

    King Richard III was born on this day.  So were: badass rebel Nat Turner, bald person Mahatma Gandhi, chump Paul von Hindenburg, comedic genius Groucho Marx, the nearly-as-funny Bud Abbott, overrated picture-taker Annie Liebovitz, egomaniac Sting, wrestler Yokozuna, and 80s musician (who posed in Playboy when it was kinda too late) Tiffany.

    OK, let’s get on with…the links!

    Seriously, dude? How in the world could that seem “romantic”, you dumb bastard?

    I’m so sorry you’re going through this.

    Sorry Meghan, but the Mail On Sunday is just publishing what they were given. I don’t see this going anywhere.  Also, your entire job is to be in public and do whatever you feel like on the dime of some else. Suck it up.

    This would have been even better if he said he wanted sharks with freaking laser beams coming out of their eyes. Of course, the sources for the entire piece are “sources” and “people familiar with the matter”, so I’m having a hard time believing any of it. But it still sounds hilarious.Hilariously awesome!

    Clinton-appointed judge behaves like Clinton. Receives punishment like a Clinton. Christ, what an asshole.

    I really am sorry for what you’ve gone through.

    Well, plan on Johnson & Johnson to be filing for bankruptcy in a few years.  Once you settle one of these, the floodgates will open.

    That asshole who killed her neighbor in Dallas was found guilty of murder. Good.  Now I hope they sentence her to a veeeeery long time.

    Man, I remember going to see them on this tour.  It was AWESOME!!!

    That’s it folks. Have a great Wednesday!

  • Chapter 9 – The History of the Anthrax Vaccine Adsorbed (AVA)

    The first use of a human anthrax vaccine took place in 1954.[i] The primary purpose for an anthrax vaccine, like all vaccines, was to provide some prophylaxis for human beings from contracting the anthrax bacteria, which is typically found in cattle and other livestock hides. The people most likely to come into contact with the anthrax spores were (a) livestock handlers, and (b) people who might be handling animal hides in leather-working factories or similar places. The first comprehensive field trial of a human anthrax vaccine was conducted at goat-hair processing mills from 1955-59 in the northeastern United States by Dr. Philip Brachman. This study has come to be known as the Brachman Study because it is, essentially, the only data available on the subject.[ii] In this study, 369 workers in the mill who handled animal hides were vaccinated against the bacteria. The results, while not spectacular, certainly indicated that the vaccine was effective against catching anthrax from handling pelts and hides that had the spores: to be precise, the vaccine trial was designed to provide prophylaxis against contacting anthrax via contact with the skin, the most likely method of encountering the spores. The study showed a “high confidence level of 93% effectiveness” for the vaccine and a low of 65%, a significant spread.

    The Michigan Department of Public Health first produced the Anthrax Vaccine Adsorbed (AVA) under an Investigational New Drug application (DBS-IND 180) in 1966. MDPH filed a license application for the manufacture of Anthrax Protective Antigen, Aluminum Hydroxide Adsorbed in 1967. The specification for manufacture is based on U.S. Patent 3,208,909. The license application references an article published in “Applied Microbiology” that details the production process. The license to manufacture AVA, granted in 1970, has two parts. One license is for the facility, the Establishment License Application (ELA); the other is for the product itself, the Product License Application (PLA). MDPH produced AVA continuously (if in small quantities) from its first contract (PH21-68-2064) in 1968 until 1997 when MDPH split off its biologics division and privatized it into the Michigan Biologic Products Institute. MBPI in turn sold the facility and its licenses to BioPort, Incorporated, in 1998, a subject to which we will return in detail later.

    Bacillus anthracis is a bacteria that survives in its environment by exuding enzymes that break down surrounding compounds, such as fats, proteins, and polysaccharides (complex sugar molecules). The bacteria then absorb these byproducts. In addition to secreting the enzymes, which serve a nutritional gathering function for the bacteria, anthrax also secretes two toxins, or poisons, known as lethal factor (LF) and edema factor (EF). These two toxins only work, however, when combined with a protein known as Protective Antigen (PA). A vaccine will be effective against anthrax if it confers a certain level of antibody response to the PA, thus inhibiting the expression of LF/EF. In other words, if the vaccine causes the immune system to create enough antibodies that will fight and overwhelm the Protective Antigen, it is considered effective.

    The anthrax vaccine is unique among vaccines in that there is no step in the manufacturing process for purifying the active fraction of the vaccine. The vaccine is made by growing a non-virulent strain of anthrax in a culture. This culture is filtered to remove the bacteria, but the remainder, including the proteins and enzymes, is absorbed onto aluminum oxyhydroxide. The antigens that are absorbed are then centrifuged out of the solution and, without being “washed”, are then resuspended into a saline solution with some preservatives. Because of the way in which the bacteria secretes enzymes and absorbs proteins, the vaccine is

    composed of an undefined crude culture of supernatant adsorbed to aluminum hydroxide. There has been no quantification of the protective antigen content of the vaccine or of any of the other constituents, so the degree of purity is unknown. Standardization is determined by an animal potency test.[iii]

    One would think that this statement must have come from an anthrax vaccine opponent, except that it is from an article authored by Colonel (Dr.) Arthur Friedlander, U.S. Army – as of 2004, the Chief Researcher at the U.S. Army’s Medical Research laboratory at Ft. Detrick, Maryland – and Dr. Philip Brachman, head of the original study on the previous Merck Pharmaceuticals-manufactured anthrax vaccine. As Dr. Friedlander notes, the antibody titer – the level of antibodies produced by the body in response to the vaccine, measured by a blood test – varies widely from lot to lot of the vaccine and is measured by injecting guinea pigs and measuring antibody response. This variety is due, in part, because the manufacturing process, developed in the 1960s, is antiquated by modern microbiology standards, which now control how a vaccine is judged for licensing purposes. All of this means that even under ideal conditions, the vaccine is likely to produce significant differences in potency from batch to batch. The problem with the AVA is that it has never been manufactured under anything even approaching ideal conditions.

    At the same time that the original Brachman study’s results were being published in 1954, the development of the anthrax vaccine continued apace. Interestingly, the vaccine used in the Brachman study was originally made by Merck Pharmaceutical, but it was changed in both content and production method by a new manufacturer, the Michigan Department of Public Health. This changed vaccine, not the original one used in the Brachman study, was what was patented by the U.S. Army in 1965.[iv]

    In 1967, an application was submitted to the National Institute of Health’s Division of Biologics Standards to get a license for the patented vaccine. A study was conducted at a Talladega mill using the newly-patented vaccine: but this study’s results have never been published. There was correspondence between the NIH and the head of the Talladega study indicating that there were problems with the methodology. Dr. Philip Coleman, the head investigator, wrote candidly to the NIH: “As to the efficacy of the vaccine, we have no real method of determining the protection afforded.”[v] There were also memos exchanged regarding the scientific validity of the Talladega study. An ad hoc licensing oversight committee sent a memo to a Dr. Margaret Pittman of the Department of Health Education and Welfare (HEW), the forerunner to the Dept. of Health and Human Services (DHHS), pointing out that “[t]he lack of cases of anthrax in an uncontrolled population of approximately 600 persons in the Talladega mill can hardly be accepted as scientific evidence for efficacy of the vaccine.”[vi] Notwithstanding these problems, Doctor Pittman recommended licensure of the vaccine on February 10, 1969, while acknowledging that “clinical data establishing efficacy of the product had not been submitted and that data be requested from NCDC (National Communicable Disease Center).”[vii] Efficacy data was a prerequisite to licensure by the 1962 Kefauver-Harris Amendments to the Federal Food, Drug and Cosmetic Act, previously detailed in Chapter 5.[1]

    On November 2, 1970, the license for the anthrax vaccine was recommended for approval by HEW without any of the required efficacy data. [viii] The License was granted on 10 November 1970. In an interesting twist, the efficacy data from the earlier Brachman Study was substituted, submitted, and accepted (yet no documentation of this submission has been uncovered). The Brachman Study is actually referenced on the approved package insert, even though the vaccine used in the Brachman Study differed from the licensed vaccine in strain, formulation, and production method. While there are those who will argue (and DoD representatives have before Congress) that the vaccines are sufficiently similar to allow conclusions to be drawn, that is a scientific debate. As a legal matter, it holds no weight. There is absolutely no way today, under the existing regulatory-licensing framework, that a company could get a license for a drug from the FDA by substituting a study from some other company’s drug, made by a different production method, using a different strain of bacteria, from a study done decades before. As one former FDA official who worked in the Department at that time sheepishly admitted, “these were the days when we were trying to help the industry.”[ix]

    When the Department of Biologics Standards was transferred under the FDA in 1973, a review began of all previously licensed vaccines that had not been required to show the necessary efficacy data. The anthrax vaccine would not undergo the necessary review for efficacy data until 12 years later, in 1985. During this review, the FDA concluded that “safety of this product is not a major concern, especially considering its very limited distribution…”[x] The committee also noted that “[a]nthrax vaccine poses no serious special problems other than the fact that its efficacy against inhalation anthrax is not well documented.”[xi] Finally, the Panel concluded that “there is sufficient evidence to conclude that anthrax vaccine is safe and effective under the limited circumstances for which this vaccine is employed.”[xii]

    During the Anthrax Vaccine Immunization Program (AVIP) rollout, the DoD publicly long claimed that “the vaccine has ‘an impressive safety record’” and that “it has been widely used for thirty years,” but neither of those statements can be squared with the 1985 review, which resulted in a proposed rule that was never been acted upon.[xiii] The 1985 review noted that “[i]mmunization with this vaccine is indicated only for certain occupational groups with risk of uncontrollable or unavoidable exposure to the organism. It is recommended for individuals who come in contact with imported animal hides, furs, wool, hair (especially goat hair), bristles, and bone meal, as well as laboratory workers involved in ongoing studies on the organism[xiv] The license was granted in 1970, but the vaccine was not widely distributed nor widely used, given the narrow slice of the population involved in animal hide handling. In fact, in November of 1971, the Division of Biologics Standards of the National Institutes of Health, noting an apparent increase in reports of adverse reactions after individuals received booster shots, published guidance on the vaccine’s shot regimen.

    The Division considered it advisable to reevaluate the need for annual boosters and possibly the amount of the booster dose . . . Although the record is unclear as to whether or not the Division requested the manufacturer to conduct a reevaluation, no such reevaluation has been done to date.[xv]

    Part of the problem may stem from the vaccine’s shot regimen, which consists of the first three shots given within 2 weeks of each other, and then another 3 shots spread out over the remainder of a year, for a total of 6 shots to complete the series, with annual boosters thereafter.

    The DoD’s media campaign, though, rising to over $70 million dollars spent for a website and other educational information for the troops, includes literature that says the anthrax vaccine “has been safely and routinely administered in the United States to veterinarians, laboratory workers, and livestock handlers for more than 25 years.”[xvi] An April 2000 Congressional House report noted, however, that “testimony at the March 24 hearing indicated between 100 and 300 civilians may receive the vaccine each year. Since approval, and prior to the AVIP, fewer than 68,000 doses had been distributed apart from stocks used in Operation Desert Storm.”[xvii] Shortly after the vaccine was licensed, the mills began closing as the garment industry changed. The risk of exposure and infection from anthrax spores by the general public disappeared. The vaccine’s use became limited to experiments on laboratory animals, the researchers conducting the experiments, and the staff at the manufacturing plant. Proof of this is that from its licensing until 1988, when the DoD sought to increase the production lines for it, only 68,000 doses of the vaccine had been produced by MDPH and MDPH had never made a lot of more than 7500 doses at one time. If vaccination consists of six shots plus annual boosters, the number of possible persons inoculated is so small as to not even be statistically significant for long-term epidemiological studies. The 1985 Panel noted that “[t]he vaccine manufactured by the Michigan Department of Public Health has not been employed in a controlled field trial.”[xviii]

    Finally, there was never any effort to track long-term health effects from those who received the vaccine. There was no database maintained or other central records kept to track an individual’s long-term reactions to the vaccine. The Institute of Medicine conducted a review of all available literature and concluded that “[t]here is a paucity of published peer-reviewed literature on the safety of the anthrax vaccine.”[xix] It also noted that “[t]here have been no studies of the anthrax vaccine in which the long-term health outcomes have been systematically evaluated with active surveillance.”[xx] At no time in the history of the anthrax vaccine did their exist, or has their existed, support for the DoD’s claims of “an impressive safety record.” In truth, the DoD’s claims are particularly hollow and appear to be part of a campaign of disinformation. As a Congressional Committee noted in April 2000, “[p]reposterously low adverse report rates generated by DOD point to a program far more concerned with public relations than effective force protection or the practice of medicine.”

    The vaccine’s licensed product insert expresses an expected systemic adverse reaction rate of 0.2 %. In May, 1999, the Department of Defense reported a total of 123 Vaccine Adverse Events Report System (VAERS) filings with the FDA, but included only 65 of those in the calculation of an adverse reaction rate of 0.007 percent of 890,888 vaccinations given to that date. This means one of two things: either the vaccine is more safe than the product label indicates by a factor of 100, or the data is being underreported. Under pressure to conduct at least some studies, the DoD has done so and those studies have suggested much higher adverse reaction rates than the PR claims. In a study at Tripler Army Hospital, Hawaii, the data showed that 2.2% of men missed one or more shifts of duty after the first shot, 2.0% after the second, and .9% after the third. For women, the numbers were higher, consistent with other studies conducted. Women in the Tripler study indicated rates of 5.5%, 5.0%, and 3.9% for the first second and third shots, respectively.[xxi] A study on soldiers in Korea on systemic reactions also revealed significantly higher adverse reaction rates. Men and women were surveyed regarding symptoms of fever, malaise, and chills. In each of these categories, the numbers reflect numbers that are in some cases 1000 times higher than what DoD has testified to before Congress or stated in press releases. The Korea study’s numbers for men and women after the first shot are:

    Fever – 0.9 % men, 2.8% women; Malaise – 6.0% men, 15.6% women; Chills – 1.5% men, 5.5% women. Second shot systemic reaction rates are similar or higher.[xxii]  What is disturbing about these numbers is not the adverse report rates themselves; the most disturbing thing is that DoD had similar numbers from a survey taken of soldiers inoculated from 1977-1996 at Fort Detrick, Maryland.[xxiii] This means that the DoD has had similar adverse reaction rates the whole time it has been claiming publicly that the vaccine has the “preposterously low” rates that they have been reporting. Completely provable lies.

    The problems with the anthrax vaccine are not mere quibbling, but rather raise significant questions about how this vaccine is made, its component parts, and the actual lots that are currently sitting on the shelf at the manufacturer’s facility, ready to be shipped or already shipped to the DoD for use on service members.[2]

    Endnotes

    [1] See Chapter 5, pp. 48-50.

    [2] I would remiss if I did not give credit to the research conducted by Major Russ Dingle, USAFR, whose knowledge about the anthrax vaccine manufacturing process is encyclopedic in its breadth and depth. Any errors are entirely mine.

    [i] Wright, GG. Et al. Studies on Immunity in Anthrax. The Journal of Immunology. Vol. 73 No. 6 pp387-391

    [ii] Brachman. P.S. et al. Field Evaluation of a Human Anthrax Vaccine. American Journal of Public Health. Vol. 52 pp. 632-645

    [iii] A.M Friedlander and P.S. Brachman, “Vaccines”, ed. Plotkin and Mortimer, 1994 edition chapter 26, pg. 737.

    [iv] Pubis, M. Wright, GG. Anaerobic Process for Production of a Gel-adsorbed Anthrax Immunization Antigen. United States Patent Office Record. September 28, 1965. page 1471

    [v] Philip Coleman, Acting Chief, Investigational Vaccines Activity , letter to Division of Biologics Standards, National Institutes of Health, 25 January 1968.

    [vi] Ad Hoc Committee letter to Dr. Margaret Pittman, 6 February 1969.

    [vii] Dr. Margaret Pittman, letter to Dr. Sam Gibson, 10 February 1969.

    [viii] HEW memorandum from Margaret Pittman to Reference No. file 67-70. 2 November 1970.

    [ix] Conversation with Mr. Sammie Young, former Director of Biologics Division of the FDA.

    [x] 21 C.F.R. 51002, 51008

    [xi] Id.

    [xii] Id.

    [xiii] DoD Press Briefing, Dec. 5, 1997.  Available at http://www.defenselink.mil/news/  then follow links to 1997 archives.

    [xiv] 21 C.F.R. 51002, 51008

    [xv] GAO Report T-NSIAD-00-48, Testimony of Dr. Kwai-Cheung Chan, Director, Special Studies and Evaluations, National Security and International Affairs Division

    [xvi] See note xii.

    [xvii] April 2000 Shays’ report, citing Prepared statement of Dr. Kathryn Zoon, Director, FDA Center for Biologics Evaluation and Research, NSVAIR anthrax hearing (II), pp. 52-53.

    [xviii] 21 CFR 51002, 51008

    [xix] “An Assessment of the Safety of the Anthrax Vaccine”, A Letter Report, Committee on Health Effects Associated with Exposures During the Gulf War, Institute of Medicine, 30 Mar 2000

    [xx] Id.

    [xxi] GAO Report, T00-48, Table 3.

    [xxii] GAO Report T00-48, Table 2.

    [xxiii] See GAO Report T-NSIAD-99-226, July 21, 1999.  Table below shows the results of Ft. Detrick study.

    Dose number Males percent (# of doses) Females % (# of doses)
    First 3.75 (1013) 3.86 (259)
    Second 3.06 (979) 7.29 (247)
    Third 1.71 (938) 5.06 (237)
    Fourth & Later 3.40 (5062) 7.06 (747)