Blog

  • Thanksgiving Morning Local Links

    SP and I are busy preparing for the Thanksgiving feast, turkeyless, but with plenty of good stuff in store. The white wines are chilling, the red wines are standing up, and Mom is wandering around asking, “Where’s the Publix roast chicken???” The TV is cued up for football. Real football, not that metric shit, and definitely not the Little League shit. If the rain pauses, I may go for a nice hike, so forgive me for abandoning the comments after a decent interval.

    Just because it’s Thanksgiving doesn’t mean we skip birthdays, because today is the birth anniversary of a sadly neglected artist; half of a truly evil duo; a sadly neglected horn player; someone who liked rice a bit too much; a guy who shows up disproportionately in movies I love; and the absolute best producer ever. And now some news.

     

    You realize this describes about 60% of this state?

     

    They all want cake. 

     

    This is gratitude for ya.

     

    This not exactly how capitalism is supposed to work.

     

    I have an alibi.

     

    We are being afflicted. It will not get better running up to the next election.

     

    And in non-local news, Warren shows solidarity with her ancestors.

     

    Problematic!

     

    Christ, what an asshole.

     

    Old Guy Music today is from a guy I never saw live, dammit, Clifford Brown, and featuring one of today’s birthday honorees, Gigi Gryce. It absolutely swings.

  • Polls vs. Odds: Part II

    In a previous article I looked at how the polls for the Democratic nominee for President compared to the bookmakers’ odds. This is an update to see how things have changed in the last two and a half months.

    A snapshot taken of the polls and odds on three dates presents a good summary of what has happened: (i) August 15, when Elizabeth Warren’s odds first passed Joe Biden’s, (ii) October 13, when Warren’s odds peaked, and (iii) November 20, the most recent data when this article was written. This time all data are taken from averages compiled by RealClearPolitics.com.

    First, the poll numbers, in % (values below 2.0 are not shown):

    Next, the odds, in % (anyone who has never been above about 5% not shown):

     

    We see that the poll numbers are much more stable, especially for Biden and Sanders. Warren had a small rise, mostly at the expense of Harris, only to give it back as Buttigieg gained ground and Bloomberg entered the race.

    The odds are much more volatile: Warren had a huge surge, taking favor from the next four contenders. Clinton (Hillary, that is) and Yang were the only others to gain traction in October. Of course, Clinton is not in the polls data since she has not declared and therefore (I assume) the pollsters don’t include her in the choices, although I wonder if some people chose her and those votes were discarded or called Undecided.

    Since her peak, Warren gave it all back as Biden and Sanders recovered and Buttigieg surged into third place. Harris’s support wilted even further to the point where the bettors seem to consider her a nonfactor. Bloomberg actually reached 8.9% right after declaring, but dropped back some since then.

    It will be interesting to see how the numbers change between now and the Iowa caucuses. According to RealClearPolitics.com, the polls for Iowa now have Buttigieg in the lead (23.5%), with Warren (17.8%), Sanders (17.0%), and Biden (17.0%) in a virtual three-way tie for second. Klobuchar (5.3%), Harris (3.3%), Yang (2.8%), and Steyer (2.5) are next. Steyer has been saturating Iowa (and therefore me) with ads claiming that the U.S. government has been bought by corporations; his national numbers are about half of his Iowa numbers. I for one will be glad when the Iowa caucuses are over.

    There is much more detail at RealClearPolitics.com, if you want the complete picture (they have really nice graphs over time). I leave further analysis and conspiracy theories to the Glibertariat.

     

  • Wednesday Afternoon Road Links

    Hey guys, I’m late getting on the road because I broke something at work Monday and it has taken me this long to unbreak it. If I ever run into Monday Morning Brett, he and I are going to have a chat. In the meantime, enjoy my on-the-road links, which are not nearly as good as road head.

    Jimmy must have been the turkey God pardoned for Thanksgiving.

    Climbing big rocks is dangerous.

    Best timeline ever!

    This is the kind of class I expect from Joisey. Or Florida. I could definitely see this happening at a Walmart in Florida.

     

    Have a Thanksgiving song from a commie.

  • The Hat and The Hair: Episode 139

     

    “Mr. President! Mr. President!” the reporter called.

    “You’ll have to speak up!” Donald replied.

    “MR. PRESIDENT!” the reporter screamed.

    “I can’t hear you!” Donald said, smiling, having heard the stick-thin Buzzfeed reporter just fine.

    “MR. PRESIDENT! WHAT ARE YOUR PLANS FOR THANKSGIVING?!?”

    “I love the troops. I just love them,” Donald replied. “Tremendous people. Just great. Salt of the Earth.”

    “THANKSGIVING!” the Buzzfeed reporter yelled. Four other reporters joined him, their tiny lungs and vocal cords straining.

    “Oh, Thanksgiving? Great holiday, just great. Christians love it. L-O-V-E IT!” Donald replied. “I pardoned the turkeys yesterday. They are resting comfortably in Bethesda Naval Hospital.”

    “WE’RE THE TURKEYS INJURED DURING THE PARDONING CEREMONY?!?” ten of them asked, holding out their iPhones to record the President’s reply.

    “I love turkey! You can’t overcook it enough me for. Gravy and rolls. Just a great holiday. Invented by Indians, I think.”

    The Buzzfeed reporter fell on the ground and began to convulse.

    “WHAT ABOUT THE IMPEACHMENT HEARINGS, MR. PRESIDENT?!?”

    “I don’t like Indian food. Gives me gas. ‘The curry slurry shits’ I call ‘em,” Donald smiled and starting waving to the Secret Service.

    “IMPEACHMENT!” they all yelled.

    “Fake hoax nonsense scam. Have you seen Adam Schiff? Have you seen this guy? Have you seen him? Total disgrace. Worst-looking guy ever,” Donald said. “No one who looks like that can judge me. Imma perfect genius. He looks like his own asshole!”

    “MR. PRESIDENT! MR. PRESIDENT!” started another reporter, a tiny woman who jumped up a down and waved her arms.

    “You, the spinner in the back,” Donald said, pointing.

    “You accuse Hunter Biden of…” she started.

    “Hunter Biden is a cocaine junkie. He’s disgusting. He’s worse than his Dad’s fake teeth!”

    “On October 27th, you tweeted…” she said.

    “Tweeted? Who can even remember what I tweeted? I had lunch with a hero dog the other day; why not write about that? Huh? Who’s a good boy? Who’s a good boy?”

    “THE DOG CONAN IS FEMALE, MR. PRESIDENT!”

    “DON’T DEADNAME MY DOG!” Donald screamed back.

    “MR…”

    “Dogs and turkeys!” Donald yelled as he turned to walk back into the White House. “Thanksgiving! Stuffing!” he yelled over his shoulder. “Big Mac casserole!”

  • Wednesday Morning Links

    “That’s a shame.”
    -nobody

    I suppose I could have said Friday and nobody would have really noticed since most of you are looking at the end of the work week. But it’s still Wednesday and I like to keep things simple.  Like Stephen F Austin did last night in beating Duke at Cameron. That. Was. Awe-some! elsewhere on the basketball court, Kansas, Michigan State, Auburn, Colorado and Dayton were big winners.

    YNWA

    In hockey, your winners were Boston (who routed the Habs), Chicago, and THE MINNESOOOOOOOOOOODA WIIIIIIIIIIIILD!!!!!!! Man, I love posting that for our frozen fans from Minn-NoDak.  Oh, and across the pond, your UCL results of note were Juventus over Athletico, Real drawing PSG, Man City drawing Shaktar, Spuds winning and Bayern quietly thumping everybody they play. Some good matches on tap today, with Liverpool-Napoli topping the list. Enjoy it, those of you already checked out for the week (like me!).

    Thermometer meddler Anders Celsius was born on this day.  So were kung-fu legend Bruce Lee, guitar legend Jimi Hendrix, non-scientist Bill Nye, and actor Curtis Armstrong. There were others as well, but none I felt like mentioning.

    Alright, on to…the links!

    An artist’s depiction of Hunter Biden giving a presentation at a Burisma board meeting.

    This has me hopping mad. Seriously? In Florida, of all places.

    Sometimes. I can’t improve a headline. Like now.

    I can’t imagine how tough life is for these kids. No, seriously. I can’t imagine it at all.

    My new hero, Donovan Stewart.

    The hero we both want and need. Just an awesome story all the way around.

    Tony Robbins sues Buzzfeed. I hope he does the same to them as Hulk Hogan did to Gawker.

    Remember, when your dog licks you, he was probably licking his own ass recently. Yikes.

    This isn’t one of those “hot teacher bangs students” stories. Not even close.

    Enjoy a great song from a generation of great songs. Don’t agree? Fight me.

  • Chapter 16: Guard Pilots Quit

    While many factors can influence an individual’s decision to leave the military, surveyed Guard and Reserve pilots and aircrew members cited the anthrax immunization as a key reason for leaving or otherwise changing their military status. Since September 1998, an estimated 25 percent of the pilots and aircrew members of the Guard and Reserve in this population transferred to another unit (primarily in a non-flying position), left the military, or moved to inactive status. While several reasons influenced their decision, when asked to rank the one most important factor, the anthrax immunization was the highest, followed by other employment opportunities, and family reasons. Further, about one in five (18 percent) left before qualifying for military retirement benefits. Additionally, 18 percent of those still participating in or assigned to a unit reported their intentions to leave within the next 6 months. These individuals also ranked the anthrax immunization as the most important factor for their decision to leave, followed by unit workload and family reasons. Each of these groups—those who have left and those who plan to do so–had accumulated an average of more than 3,000 flight hours, which symbolizes a seasoned and experienced workforce.[i]

    The impact of the anthrax program on the Armed Services was substantial. DoD representatives continued to assert that the impact was negligible and that the refusals and courts-martial were only a misinformed minority. This is because the Armed Forces have to answer to Congress for recruiting goals and retention and how money is being spent. Even if the DoD doesn’t have to answer to servicemembers, it does have to answer to Congress for end-strength and staffing. If the anthrax vaccine program was a significant cause of members leaving the service, Congress could quash the program on those grounds alone. Thus, when asking the DoD about the AVIP’s effect on retention and recruiting, the answer was always “minimal”.[ii]

    Both anecdotal and empirical evidence, however, show exactly the opposite.

    Servicemembers left both active duty and reserve forces because of the anthrax vaccine program. Those who had no other alternative were refusing the vaccine outright and suffering the consequences. Unfortunately, the DoD did not want to know how bad the statistics were and as of October 2000, they still were not tracking refusal numbers or reasons people left the service. When the GAO recommended that exit surveys include a question about whether or not the anthrax vaccine was a factor in their decision to leave, the DoD objected to the question as being “leading” and that it would result in survey bias.[iii] In the study conducted on National Guard and Reserve aircrew, the GAO found significant numbers of people who cited the anthrax vaccine as the number one reason for either transferring to a new unit or for leaving the Guard or Reserve.[iv] As the GAO noted, “[t]hese components [Reserve and Guard forces] provide essential support to critical defense operations on a worldwide basis. They provide strategic and tactical airlift, aerial refueling, aeromedical evacuation, and augment DOD’s overall fighter force.”[v] Not noted in these reports, but important to understand, is that most Reserve and Guard aircrew are made up of former active duty servicemembers. While it is not definitive, neither is it a stretch to opine that the views of this particular segment of Guard and Reserve society is closely reflective of the views of their brethren on active duty. The numbers reveal two disturbing trends.

    First, pilots and aircrew left or transferred in significant numbers because of the anthrax vaccine: to the tune of one out of every four (1/4). Of the remaining members, another 18% (about one out of five) indicated that they were leaving within the next 6 months (the survey was conducted from May to September 2000) and they listed the anthrax vaccine as the number one reason. This means that if a unit started with some baseline number of aircrew, it initially lost 25% citing the AVIP as the number one reason. Therefore, the unit is (setting aside new acquisitions for the moment) at 75% of its prior strength. At the same time, one fifth of the remainder will leave within six months. That cuts the unit down to 65% of original strength. The most disturbing aspect of this trend is that new acquisitions will not return the unit to its former functioning as the members leaving had an average experience level of 3000 flight hours, a fairly significant experience level.[1]

    Second, adverse reactions were being massively underreported. The GAO survey of 1253 Guard and Reserve aircrew found that of the forty-two (42) percent who had received one or more shots

    86 percent reported experiencing side effects or adverse reactions. About 60 percent indicated that they had not discussed any side effect to the anthrax vaccine with military health care personnel or their supervisors—some (49 percent) citing as their reasons fear of losing their flight status, adverse effects on their military or civilian careers, and ridicule. Seventy-one percent reported that they were unaware of the Food and Drug Administration’s Vaccine Adverse Events Reporting System. Slightly less than 6 percent of those who had a reaction reported to this system.[vi]

    Here is proof that the VAERS system, upon which the DoD bases its .007 percent adverse reaction rate, is only being reported by 6% of those having adverse reactions. Perhaps it would be better to say that adverse reaction reports are being underreported by a factor of just under 20 (approximately 17). These numbers, as well as the anecdotal evidence, seem to correspond more closely to the AVA package insert’s serious adverse reaction rate of .2 percent.

    One related outcome of the study points to the most serious flaw and consequence of the AVIP: the loss of trust in low-level military leadership. There is perhaps nothing more tenuous, and yet necessary and essential, to a military organization than the trust that flows from those being led to their leaders. Unfortunately, in an effort to quash dissent, senior military leaders adopted a leadership style that was characteristic of the Soviet bloc armed forces we stood against for some fifty years – leadership by fear and threat of punishment. In the long run it did not work for those countries and our country is even more ill-suited for that style because of the free-flow of information within the United States. Quite simply, whenever a senior officer makes some factual assertion or claim about the AVA, or the anthrax program, or the manufacturer, or the threat of anthrax, it is a short trip to the library, internet, or other source of information for a soldier to check the veracity of that statement.

    The results of the GAO survey showed that while “[m]ost Guard and Reserve pilots and aircrew members support immunization programs in general . . . relatively few appear to support the anthrax program or future immunization programs for other biological warfare agents.”[vii] If the correlation between Reservists and active duty members is valid, servicemembers appeared to recognize what the DoD was not willing to discuss publicly; using vaccines against diseases like the public at large is entirely acceptable, but using vaccines as pretreatments for chemical-biological warfare is a different matter entirely and people are understandably hesitant to allow their bodies to become the future battleground, particularly with the DoD calling the shots. The hard data validates this conclusion.

    Almost three out of four (74 percent) of the pilots and aircrew members of the Guard and Reserve believe that immunizations in general are moderately to very effective, and 60 percent believe that immunizations are moderately to very safe. On the other hand, 65 percent, or two out of three servicemembers, reported little or no support for the anthrax immunization.[viii]

    This statistic is interesting also because it shows that the DoD’s extensive education campaign was entirely ineffective. The reason for this is, unfortunately, because as more facts were uncovered, it became increasingly clear that the program evolved from telling less than the whole truth, to spin, to (in many cases) outright fabrication. There is nothing more damaging to the trust from subordinates to seniors than for subordinates to believe that their senior leaders have lied and are continuing to lie to them. In fact, several Reserve officers filed a complaint against two senior military officers involved in the anthrax program from the very beginning.

    One of the charges in the IG complaint alleges that Colonel Arthur Friedlander, an Army doctor, lied under oath at a Canadian court-martial. A Canadian soldier was being court-martialed for refusing to take the anthrax vaccine, the same one produced by Bioport. The prosecution in that case called Dr. Friedlander as one of its witnesses. On cross-examination, Dr. Friedlander was questioned regarding his knowledge of the 1996 Investigational New Drug license amendment submitted by MDPH, along with the Department of Defense.

    Attorney: If I’m going to suggest to you, sir, that the drug was licenced for cutaneous anthrax only and that there has been a subsequent amendment for coverage for inhalation anthrax, would you agree with me or disagree with me?

    Col Friedlander:  I’m not aware of that . . .

    [Later]

    Attorney: In particular, the fifth paragraph, it says that the office, and this is referring to the Joint Program Office for Biological Defense, quote: “‘managed and funded efforts leading to the submission of a Biologic Licensure Application amendment to the FDA,’ including data to support its proposal ‘to license the vaccine to provide protection against aerosol exposure to anthrax.’” Is that something you’re familiar with, sir, or would you disagree with that statement?

    Col Friedlander: I’m not sure the details of this. I do know that there were questions that were raised, since there are no direct studies in humans with this vaccine, and that a statement was made by the FDA that the use of the vaccine in the Gulf War against the threat of aerosol use of spores was not inconsistent with the product licence. . . .

    Attorney: If I was to suggest to you, sir, that we’ve heard evidence that the vaccine was licenced for cutaneous anthrax and that there was an application placing the drug into IND status with the FDA for three reasons: one, is to change for inhalational anthrax; two, was to change the route of administration; and, three, to change the scheduling of the drugs, would you agree with that or do you know?

    Col Friedlander: I know that there have been studies dealing with trying to reduce the number of doses and to look at the route of administration.

    Atty: So are you saying, sir, that you’re not familiar with what I’ve said, or you disagree with it?

    Friedlander: No, no. I don’t know that ­­ I’d have to look back at the documents that you’re referring to.

    Atty: Okay. So you’re not saying the drug is not in an IND status for those three variations?

    Friedlander: You know, I’m not clear what you’re saying in terms of ­­ I mean, I’m not quite clear what that means, in other words. There are studies that have been done, that I’m involved with, looking at reducing the number of doses and changing the route of administration.[ix]

    Here, Colonel Friedlander repeatedly denies having knowledge about the license amendment for the anthrax vaccine or the vaccine’s investigational status. This is impossible because Colonel Friedlander was personally involved on three occasions in DoD meetings, during which he specifically briefed the three reasons for the IND application, including an FDA license amendment to add an indication for inhalation anthrax. For example, at the October 20, 1995, meeting of the Joint Program Office for Biological Defense (JPOBD) Colonel Friedlander presented a briefing “covering three topics: (1) evidence for a reduction in the number of doses of anthrax vaccine, (2) evidence for vaccine efficacy against an aerosol challenge, and (3) progress towards an in vitro correlate of immunity.” [x] At this same meeting, Dr. Friedlander acknowledged that “there was insufficient data to demonstrate protection against inhalation disease.”[xi]

    At another meeting on Feb 9, 1996, which was a follow up to the October meeting, Colonel Friedlander presented another briefing titled “Research Plan to Support Reduction in Dosage of Licensed Anthrax Vaccine (AVA) and Indication for Aerosol Exposure”.[xii] The meeting minutes show that Friedlander discussed the need for the study to show a correlation between animal and human immune response to the vaccine – a recognition that the anthrax vaccine had never demonstrated efficacy for inhalation anthrax in humans.[xiii] This shows an intimate knowledge on Colonel Friedlander’s part about the FDA’s requirements for human studies to prove efficacy of the vaccine.

    Finally, on November 10, 1997, Colonel Friedlander presented another briefing to DoD and contractor representatives entitled “Supplement to AVA License.” This was 14 months after the submission of the IND application by the manufacturer, which was submitted in September 1996. The briefing slides clearly show the three changes sought (including an indication for inhalation anthrax) and that Colonel Friedlander was responsible for the pre-clinical portions of these studies intended to obtain FDA approval for these changes.[xiv]

    There are only two possible conclusions to be reached when re-reading Colonel Friedlander’s denials at the Canadian court, and neither is particularly favorable. In the best light, he completely forgot everything he knew about the anthrax program and his participation in it. In the worst light, he intentionally lied under oath. In either case, these types of inconsistent statements by senior military officers involved with the program break down the trust between service members and their leaders. This is not even close to being the only instance of this happening.

    There was a separate complaint filed by 74 Guard and Reserve officers surrounding statements made by Major General Paul Weaver before Congress. The complaint cited testimony before the House Government Reform Committee’s Subcommittee on National Security, Veterans’ Affairs and International Relations. At a Sept. 29, 1999, hearing in front of the House, Weaver stated:

    “So, when I hear all of these other figures about these mass resignations [due to members refusing the anthrax vaccine], and what not, they’re just not there. There are challenges with explaining, with discussing, as they all are, with the members of their unit, on the anthrax issue. But when it really gets down to it, we’ve had 10,700 people inoculated for anthrax in the Air National Guard, with one known refusal.”[xv]

    The problem with this testimony is that months before his statement to that Committee, Weaver had been made aware of the resignations of pilots from both the Connecticut Air National Guard and Wisconsin ANG. In the case of the Connecticut pilots, a memo was forwarded to Weaver about the Connecticut resignations. Additionally, both the Wisconsin and Connecticut resignations received widespread media coverage, including the Connecticut resignations being referenced by former Pentagon spokesperson Kenneth Bacon on Jan. 21, 1999. While ultimately the DoD IG did not punish Major General Weaver, it did find that his statement “lacked the necessary element of ‘straightforwardness,’ and so was inconsistent with guidelines for honesty as set forth by the Joint Ethics Regulations (JER).”[xvi] Major General Weaver later qualified what he meant by a refusal, which he defined as a person who had a commitment to the ANG and could thus be subject to disciplinary action, as opposed to someone who could simply resign because their status allowed them to. There were some emails by staff members prior to the General’s testimony that confirm that this definition was being contemplated, but it is clear no such qualifiers were made in the broad statement made to Congress – only one “refusal”, period.

    The sum total of these kinds of parsings, misrepresentations, or flat-out lies, is a disintegration in the trust between those being led and those who are supposed to be doing the leading. When 74 officers are filing a complaint because of a General officer’s mis-statements before Congress, there is a serious problem. The DoD’s refusal to acknowledge in sworn testimony before Congress that such a problem even exists, rather than making it go away, only exacerbates the problem and further erodes trust in senior leaders. The final example of this is the most disturbing because at best, it illustrates a severe disconnect between senior military leaders and those they lead and have led (i.e. veterans) and at worst, it is a case of an intentional coverup of experimentation on service members.

    In testimony to the Senate Armed Service’s Committee on 13 April 2000, then-Army Surgeon General Lieutenant General Ronald Blanck misrepresented the purpose of the Investigational New Drug application prepared by the Army for the manufacturer. The Senator who queried LTG Blanck was unfamiliar with the Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act and accepted LTG Blanck’s testimony without question. This question goes directly to the heart of the legal status of the vaccine and the General either lied or was grossly misinformed. It is difficult to believe that the United States Army Surgeon General was not “in the know” about the DoD’s plan to amend MBPI (and then BioPort’s) license.

    SEN. ROBERTS: General Blanck, the annual Congressionally mandated chemical and biological defense program report to Congress submitted on March 15, 2000, states: “The Department submitted data to the FDA last year to license the vaccine to provide protection against aerosol exposure to anthrax.” My question is why is the Department seeking a license for the vaccine when the license for the anthrax vaccine has existed since 1970?

    GEN. BLANCK:  It is really for the facility, not for the vaccine per se.

    SEN. ROBERTS: Oh, I see, okay. All right. That clears that up.

    There is a big difference between seeking a license change for a new facility and getting a new indication for the vaccine itself. In light of emails later discovered regarding DoD’s people “on site” and the supplemental testing conducted by the DoD, even in a light most favorable to the General, if he wasn’t lying, then he was either completely misinformed by his subordinates about what was going on (which isn’t reassuring in any way) or completely misunderstood the FDA regulatory process, which doesn’t speak well for his knowledge as the Surgeon General. Furthermore, in 1994, General Blanck, when he was the Commanding General of Walter Reed Army Medical Center, briefed a Congressional committee that

    Therefore, its [AVA’s] safety, particularly when given to thousands of soldiers in conjunction with other vaccines, is not well established. Anthrax vaccine should continue to be considered as a potential cause for undiagnosed illnesses in Persian Gulf military personnel because many of the support troops received anthrax vaccine, and because the DOD believes that the incidence of undiagnosed illnesses in support troops may be higher than that in combat troops.[xvii]

    Just a few years prior, General Blanck asserts that the DoD believes that the AVA should be considered a cause of Gulf War Illness. Yet after his promotion to Surgeon General of the Army and the launch of the AVIP, he tried to disavow these statements. It would be understandable if General Blanck’s change in position were due to some scientific evidence that proves that the AVA is or was not a potential cause of Gulf War Illness. Unfortunately, the evidence continued to mount that the AVA was a possible source of Gulf War Illness. The DoD consistently opposed any study that showed a link between vaccines or other medicines that were given to soldiers and Gulf War Illness. The evidence supporting this would eventually become conclusive and the VA would acknowledge pyridostigmine bromide pills as causal of GWI for VA benefit purposes.

    The problem with the dissembling and misstatements by senior military leaders isn’t just the loss of trust from the junior servicemembers. When all of the dissembling continually concerns the anthrax vaccine, it only serves to make people more suspicious of the program. The DoD repeatedly complained that it was “internet misinformation” undermining the program, but the real culprit was the DoD’s own misinformation that served to erode all faith in this program. This pattern of deception was most evident when the issue of the anthrax vaccine and Gulf War Illness came up. The DoD showed just how far it would go to protect the AVA.

    Endnotes

    [1] In the Marine Corps, for example, someone with 3000 flight hours would most likely be a Major returning to a squadron for a second tour or already into a second tour.

    [i] GAO 01-92T p.6

    [ii] Statement of MajGen Paul Weaver, USAFR (see background brief).

    [iii] GAO T-NSIAD-00-36 p.37

    [iv] GAO 01-92T

    [v] Id. p. 1.

    [vi] GAO 01-92T p.5-6

    [vii] GAO 0192T p.4

    [viii] Id. p.4

    [ix] Canadian court-martial trial transcript, Judge G.L. Brais, 30 Mar 2000, Office of the Chief Military Judge, Canadian Forces

    [x] LTC David Danley, “Minutes of the Meeting on Changing the Food and Drug Administration License for the Michigan Department of Public Health (MDPH) Anthrax Vaccine to Meet Military Requirements”, held on 20 Oct 1995 meeting; Joint Program Office for Biological Defense memorandum, 13 Nov 1995.

    [xi] Id.

    [xii] Col (Dr.) Arthur Friedlander, Minutes of the Anthrax License Amendment Issues Meeting, briefing titled “Research Plan to Support Reduction in Dosage of Licensed Anthrax Vaccine (AVA) and Indication for Aerosol Exposure”, 9 Feb 1996.

    [xiii] Id.  Col (Dr.) Arthur Friedlander, Minutes of the Anthrax License Amendment Issues Meeting, briefing titled “Research Plan to Support Reduction in Dosage of Licensed Anthrax Vaccine (AVA) and Indication for Aerosol Exposure”, 9 Feb 1996.

    [xiv] Col (Dr.) Arthur Friedlander, briefing titled “Supplement to AVA License” (slides), meeting attended by USAMRIID and contractor representatives, 10 Nov 1997

    [xv] House Government Reform Committee’s Subcommittee on National Security, Veterans’ Affairs and International Relations.  Sept. 29, 1999

    [xvi] Reported by Dave Eberart, Stars and Stripes, May 11, 2001, quoting from March IG Report.

    [xvii] Senate Report 103-97, note 143

  • I Fucking Hate New York, Part II: The Self-Defensining

    If you can remember back to this post, I was and am in the process of getting legal with the Empire State with respect to items that go BLAM!  A bit more than a year ago, I received permission from his most gracious and beneficent judge of Saratoga County to take possession and assume actual physical control of a handgun.  A (as in singular) handgun (a 1965 Ruger Standard with a 6″ barrel).

    Ruger Mark I with a 6" barrel
    There are many like it, but this one is MINE.

    Since that time, I have amended that license a few times, paying $3 each time I had enough money lying around to add to the collection.   This license didn’t allow me to defend myself with it, that would still be very illegal.  But having had it for a year, and only having put holes in non-human objects I am now permitted to shell out another $200, spend another day in class and then re-apply to be granted such permissions as stopping for gasoline or lunch on the way to and/or from a gun range.

    Why does this class cost $200?  Well first of all it can be.  Regulatory capture and all that.  But adding to that cost is undoubtedly this (underlining, bolding and italicizing in the original):

    New York State Penal Law provisions including but not limited to the SAFE Act;
    Article 35 (justification of the use of force); reporting requirements for the theft or
    loss of a firearm or ammunition; where it is lawful to carry and possess a firearm;
    and proactive awareness of surroundings, home, and car while carrying a firearm.
    Classroom instruction on Penal Law Article 35 must be provided by an attorney licensed to practice in New York State.

    NY looooves the shit out of its Top. Men.  So much so that it’s simultaneously trying to eradicate the NRA, but also relying on the NRA to determine when freemen can travel through the King’s Land with their weapons.

    The class itself was ridonkulously basic and exactly like every other gun safety class you have ever been exposed to, with the one exception of the Article 35 review mentioned above.  That part was given by a lawyer that happened to be the club’s treasurer and gave off a whiff of gun-nuttery.  He was a enthusiastic fanboi of Massad Ayoob and encouraged us to subscribe to Combat Handgunner and because they both had columns written by Mr. Ayoob.  This lawyer’s reasoning was that if you have a subscription to these magazines, any article in them could be presented in your defense as training as part of the “reasonable person*” defense.  I have no idea how often this works, and didn’t ask him about his success rate in actual trials.

    New York’s self defense laws are pretty straightforward if you follow the logic of “you need a really good reason to kill someone,” and “you need to de-escalate.”  However, there is a fuckton of nuance and interpretation in implementation that I am sure gets abused.  New York distinguishes between “Physical Force” and “Deadly Physical force”**  Basically, you have a duty to retreat in public, but do not have a duty to put yourself at a tactical disadvantage.  You cannot use Deadly Physical Force against someone that is only using Physical Force, unless the person is in the act of committing a kidnapping, a rape, or arson.  (Yes, in NY arson is the sole exception to being able to defend property with force).  There is a “castle doctrine,” but only to the extent that “duty to retreat” does not apply within a residence that you are authorized to be in.  You still can’t shoot (or stab or club) someone who is in your house unless they are attacking you or committing one of those aforementioned crimes, supra.  You can only defend an “innocent” third party (so that White Hispanic dude with the Kel-Tec would likely have been convicted in NY).

    The lawyer also did something extremely useful, which was to pass out his business card which immediately went into the wallet because it is printed thusly:  ‘

    Need to get this thing laminated

    The rest of the course consisted of me getting yelled at by a Range Safety Officer for not having a correct shooting grip while practice drawing a rubber Sig P220 from a provided right-handed paddle holster.  I am not right-handed.

    I did not muzzle myself or anyone else during the drills. But some people become RSOs to have an excuse to yell at people I guess.

    Then we went for a live-fire qualification where I shot 500/500 on an AP1 target over distances ranging from 15 yards to 3, and with times allowed ranging from “completely adequate” to “literally forever.” The fact that this was considered a notable accomplishment makes me weep, and reminds me that the NRA was founded by a bunch of Civil War veterans from New York who were appalled by their cohort’s marksmanship (or lack thereof).  Apparently nothing has changed in the last 150 years.  I then received a suitable-for-framing certificate of completion and was told the correct way to request that my permit be switched to “unrestricted.”  There isn’t actually any indication on the forms that you want to do that.  You just ask to have a duplicate permit made and the nice ladies at the Sheriff’s Office (no sarcasm this time) are supposed to telepathically determine that you want an upgrade (though I suppose the fact that you hand them your certificate should be a big hint — still, there is no official paperwork AFAICT.)  This triggers another round  of background checks with now a higher standard for acceptance (or rather a lower bar for rejection***).  Again, this standard is completely at the whim of his most gracious judicial majesty of the County of X.  A rejection at this stage is appealable, but successful appeals have never happened ever in the history of “who the fuck do you think you are peasant?”  Unlike the initial permitting process, this upgrading is supposed to happen quickly.  We shall see.

    *turns in paperwork*

    *waits*

     

    via GIPHY

    *receives phone call from Sheriff’s Office.*  Apparently when I traded in my 22/45 for my Mark IV, the gun store paperwork got the gun I was trading in and the gun I was taking home BACKWARDS.  Fortunately the sheriff isn’t arresting me.  Yet.

    *waits*

    via GIPHY

    One week later…

    “Mr. Adahn, could you come down to the Sheriff’s office on [names two days of the week] between [names a three hour window]?  You’ll need to bring your pistol license with you.”

    While this might be a trap, they already know where I live and that I’m (vaguely and lightly) armed, and they haven’t sent a SWAT team after me (yet).  So I go at the next opportunity (which is 20 hours later).  The nice ladies at the Sheriff’s office take a new picture of me, have me wait while they warm up the card printer, then have me wait some more while they warm up the card laminator.  Then they hand me a card very similar to my earlier one, only this one has the picture of a less fat guy on it, has my pistols printed on it instead of being written in sharpie, and most importantly, in the lower let corner it says UNRESTRICTED.  I am now less likely to commit a felony than I was before.

    I celebrate by getting a coffee and bagel at a Panera drive through (French toast with cream cheese) while having a pistol in the car.

     

    *NY’s “reasonable person” definition apparently includes that a reasonable person would have the same knowledge as the defendant.  Thus if you smoke someone who has a knife that is five yards away and you have been trained on the Tuller Drill, a “reasonable person” knows that an armed attacker within seven yards presents a lethal threat.

    **Kicking someone barefooted is Physical Force.  Kicking someone with a shoe on is Deadly Physical Force.

    ***All of the information about this unrestricted permitting process makes it very clear that they will reject your ass for a single DUI.  You even have to acknowledge this before the class begins.  During the practice session for SSRG’s multi-gun event, I talked to three members who were avid clay shooters that were denied pistol permits for that very reason, which is why the club chose the “2×4” format for the matches.  You can’t assume that a NYS resident will be able to legally complete with a pistol.

  • Swiss Servator Returns…With First World Problem Whines.

    Swiss Rage Quit at BGG CON

     

    Back from BGG CON and fantastic TX BBQ. By the time these links Post, I should be at the hospital getting my third and final cortisone shot for my worthless C7 disc crushed nerves. And then tomorrow I get to go from work to see Mom moved over from acute rehab care to longer term rehab/assisted living. I am so busy…waaaa!

    You worthless whiner! Get on your face and give me 30…now!

    Poor me – I have access to the best medicine in the world. 200 years ago, I would have been an angry laudanum addict or such instead. Mom and Dad have access to wonderful help and facilities, instead of sitting in a rocking chair and croaking. STOP FOOKIN’ WHINGIN’ YE GIT!

    There, much better. Now that I am focused, on to Links!

    • Maybe sudden wealth for some people is…not optimal. I know for a fact, everyone that reads this here site could easily handle that kind of money…right?
    • Evidence of our corruption shows how well we are doing at stopping corruption!!! But seriously….how does a faith group go from ‘anywhere two believers gather is my house’ to having a police force, a Financial Information Authority (AIF), and a Secretariat of State? *Sigh*
    • Wait….how dare (((they))) ask him to admit error! Shocking! Next up, American Jews might start realizing TEAM BLUE really are not their friends. Well, maybe not today. Or tomorrow. Or the next day.

    Have at you, in the comments!

  • Term Limits, Part II

    Filthy Lucre
    A. Take money/donation; then 1. Gin up angst; 2. Claim “dire consequences, UNLESS;” 3. Pass law; 4. Start Over at A

    How to Justify Legislation

    Every problem, no matter how small or inconsequential, can never fail to be magnified, exaggerated, or – with a suitably agenda-driven Media – simply concocted out of whole cloth by partisan hacks and flacks, and then subsequently painted as requiring government intervention of one kind or another. This typically take the form of regulation, spearheaded by those fearsome warriors of the quill, our legislators! Boies Penrose, the PA legislator and US Senator (quoted in Part I) was famous for his “squeeze bills.” These were essentially extortion threats to businesses within a given industry that they would be strictly regulated by Congress…unless they paid a certain fee to the re-election campaign of a given politician. If you think this is some relic of the past, please understand: your Congressional representatives do this to businesses ALL. OF. THE. TIME. In other words, Virginia, not only is there not a Santa Claus, but Congress is also not very different in result from the Mafia in its shakedowns of legitimate businesses. It is nothing more or less than the same ol’ protection rackets, except the armed thugs who enforce it will not be Bent-Nose Tony or One-Eyed-Vito, instead it will be the police who, like good soldiers, will dutifully take to the streets to ensure the dictates of their legislative masters are not being ignored by the tax-donkeys citizenry.

    If this seems unduly harsh on the police, consider the underlying circumstances that instigated the encounter between Eric Garner and New York police in 2014. All of the hoopla was around choke holds, police training, and racism, but flushed down the memory-hole is the reason police had an interaction with Eric Garner in the first place: he had been picked up previously in that same area for selling “loosies,” a term for single cigarettes. “Why is selling loose cigarettes a crime in the first place?” you might ask. Well, that was made a crime by the New York legislature, which came on the heels of massive sin taxes they placed on cigarettes, which created the black market for “loosies” in the first place. In summary then, the police killed a man, Eric Garner, who wasn’t even selling cigarettes at the time, but was in the same location where he had been arrested for it previously, and when the police encountered him trying to break up a fight, the fatal encounter began. The real tragedy goes unaddressed amidst all of the hoopla over whether the encounter/actions of the police were racially motivated or not. It wasn’t racially motivated: it was economically motivated… by the legislature. Tobacco companies, demonized (justly or not) by the public because of their actions in hiding what they knew about tobacco’s addictive properties and higher statistical propensity to cause lung cancer, became easy, easy targets for legalized extortion by your elected representatives: the legislative branch. No one stood up in defense of those companies’ rights – and that is exactly how everyone’s rights are diminished. If you won’t stand up for the rights of the most odious among us, then you don’t really believe in those rights. You just like to tell yourself that you do.

    Only a rare few magazines or authors have focused on this point.

    Why were the cops so hell-bent on stamping out the sales of loosies, which typically sell for 75 cents a pop in Staten Island (and two times or more that in Manhattan)? New York City boasts the highest cost for cigarettes in the nation, with a pack ranging anywhere from $12 and up. The city lays its own taxes on top of the state’s, in an effort both to raise revenue and discourage use of tobacco.

    The result is a thriving market in sales of loosies and black-market cigarettes more generally. Since 2006, the tax on cigarettes in New York have risen 190 percent and cigarette smuggling has risen by 59 percent, writes Lawrence J. McQuillan of the Independent Institute. Whether it’s liquor, drugs, or cigarettes, when you try to stamp out something consenting adults want, you cause as many or more problems as you ameliorate.

    – Nick Gillespie (from the above-linked article).

    And if you didn’t believe these phenomenon are in any way related, note this article from the Wall Street Journal, subtitled, “The New York Police Department has made nearly 33% fewer arrests citywide so far this year for selling untaxed cigarettes.”

    The police enforce the will of the legislature. The legislature sells legislation to political donors. Political donors, both corporate and individual, become ‘constituents’ only one way… You aren’t a recognized constituent until you start donating to politicians’ campaigns. Prior to that time, the only time politicians can “hear you” is if you manage to make a big, loud, angry mess that gets picked up by the Media and either (a) they see an opportunity to leverage you/your issue, or (b) might harm their reelection chances.

    In summary thus far, we know that (a) even the previously-believed-to-be-a-saint Father of the Country, George Washington, bribed the voters in his district to win election; (b) no modern legislator comes anywhere moderately close to being even half of the gentlemen that George Washington genuinely was; (c) and Lord Acton was entirely correct.

    Devalue Politicians by Changing the Economics

    Having identified the root of the problem, the question becomes how to control the flow of money into politicians’ coffers. Every attempt has failed because even honest and well-intentioned reformers seek to attack the “money” – and not the underlying economics that are at the heart of the entire corrupt enterprise. It is unfortunately the same kind of animist thinking that sees banning guns as the only way to stop shootings, or banning drugs as the way to lower drug addiction, etc. The simplest, most effective solution is to attack the basis of the underlying economy: in this case, to make politicians not worth buying. (In the other examples, it’s to stop re-enacting Prohibition by legislative fiat over and over again, but those are separate subjects for their own space another time.)

    What does it Cost for Legislation?

    The primary method politicians use to avoid the sticky problem of being directly bribed by their political donors has been the “re-election campaign as front for political quid pro quo.” That is the current popular way to solicit money from paying customers. (i.e. political constituents who would be affected by a given piece of legislation). While it is true some politicians have found other, more ingenious variations on this theme, political campaigns continue to be the primary vehicle for buying legislation.*

    (*One could, however, set up a really bizarre shell Foundation/corporation/non-profit with subchapters in other countries, and then launder your political payoffs through said Foundation, where all of your friends, family, political lackeys, and supporters also happen to work and draw a handsome salary… some while simultaneously drawing a government salary! You might even get your disbarred spouse to give highly-paid speaking engagement in countries where you might be able to affect United States foreign policy in favor of those paying for said speaking gigs… just an idea, of course.)

    Buying legislation (i.e. making a large donation to a campaign) for your own benefit, or to the detriment of your competitors or smaller businesses, always comes with the possibility that the legislative promise can’t be kept. The best thing the Founding Fathers did was to spread the legislative power out over a wide geographical and political area, and make it procedurally difficult to gain a consensus. Congress is filled with a myriad of committees and subcommittees and byzantine rules of procedure. That reality is already priced into the market for legislation. It’s why politicians are constantly campaigning – they don’t just get big sacks of money by promising they’re going to pass a law. It’s not that simple.

    The junior Congresswoman from Nebraska, for example, is unlikely to be able to do squat legislatively for several terms. Thus, what she can expect to solicit in campaign donations is not very much. Committee Chairs, however, have power to control agendas for their committees, including what legislation gets “tabled” or considered. Consequently, those committee chairs are “worth” more on the market for legislation/campaign donations. Speakers, the Whip, and other senior party members are obviously worth even more again, and so on up the line, which is why Presidential elections are like the Super Bowl of political campaigns: the money spent is a direct reflection of the power that the “marketplace” for political control sees in the Presidency: the veto power, the right to appoint Supreme Court justices for life, foreign policy, the military, etc.

    Now that we start to understand how the legislative sausage is made, or perhaps more importantly, who actually pays to have the legislative sausage made, we’re in a better position tot understand what real “reform” would look like. It also helps explain why reform never really happens: because the people who pass the laws are in no way going to slaughter their own cash cow. In the next part I explain how to change the economics around politics.

  • Tuesday Morning Links

    John Harbaugh participates in the “O-H-I-O” cheer.

    That QB from Baltimore reminds Booger of Michael Vick in case you didn’t know.  Jesus, dude. We get it. He’s a mobile QB with a hell of an arm. But I’m not sure Booger McFarland didn’t go more than two minutes last night without mentioning that. He almost made me miss Chris Collinsworth’s commentary. In basketball, the Hokies took down Michigan State in Hawaii. The Buckeyes won a game of runs at home. And Kansas, Tennessee, Auburn, VCU and the Dayton Flyers all won.

    This one will be fun.

    Your hockey winners were Tampa, NYR, Philly, Pittsburgh, Columbus, Nashville, Dallas, The Mighty Ducks, and San Jose. And UCL games are back today. Hopefully some of you soccer fans are either iff today or working from home so you can enjoy.  Oh, and in related news, CBS has bought the rights for the UCL from 2021-2024, which was a bit fo a surprise. I suppose they’ll have to dust off their programs from the 1994 WC and hire some analysts…like TNT did.

    Artist’s depiction of Shawn Kemp and his children.

    Religious figure Ellen G White was born on this day. She shares it with gunslinger Bat Masterson, hero to those in hot climates Willis Carrier, quitter Bill Wilson, Peanuts cartoonist Charles Schultz, sining legend Tina Turner, and man chasing Genghis Khan’s record Shawn Kemp.

    OK, let’s move on to…the links!

    Cummins to lay off 2000 workers globally amid business turndown. American sales were steady, but globally there was a drop-off.  Does this mean we will have to depend on Paccar, Volvo and MB to make more heavy truck motors?  Yikes!

    Personally, I think this was a smart move. Well, other than having taxpayers foot the bill.  Let these cretins pay for their own security as long as they’re letting their union cops run roughshod over their residents…who are being systematically disarmed.

    What kind of fresh hell is this? It’s insane that these are the things fraternities are forcing people to do this.  Why, when I was in college, all they ever did was…oh yeah, the exact same thing. And pledges were free to stop any time they wanted. SO don’t give me this “forced” crapola.

    It’s a fucking DOG!

    OK, this is getting ridiculous.

    “The loss of Koki is no different than the loss of a Police Officer,” said El Mirage Police Chief Paul Marzocca, in the statement. “Today the El Mirage Police Department mourns Koki, we lost a brother last night.”

    A candlelight vigil for Koki took place Saturday night.

    “I’m devastated,” said one vigil attendee, as she cried.

    Listen, I get that people care about pets. But these are working dogs who are a tool. They’re not people. They’re not cops. They’re animals trained (often poorly) as a tool (that often performs poorly). Stop this reverence for cops shit. But especially stop this humanization of police dogs shit.

    Florida Man fucks up home intruder. Sorry if I feel no sympathy for the hospitalized.

    This is what would have happened to me if I led a rally against my (when I worked for someone else) employers. Oh, I mean “held a rally after I got caught stealing personal information I wasn’t given access to.” Sorry, fuckers. Have a happy holiday season.

    A federal judge appointed by Obama basically said executive privilege and attorney-client privilege don’t exist. I have a feeling this ruling won’t last very long.

    Here you go. Hope you enjoy it.

    Go have a great day.  Just four days and four hours till The Game kicks off.  Bo Bucks!